SteveElbows said:
<..> I am not sure why I care that much about this though, given that it still looks a bit like a shadow to me, and that even if we do confirm it as being something, so what, what does it tell us?
Er, it would tell us something we didn't know before. Knowledge is good.
Of the possibilities i have pondered to explain this foobar there are two, which I have conclusively excluded.
1) that there isn't really something there.
On the grounds that there are way too many independently taken photos that shows the phenomenon for it to be fluke.
2) that it is a shadow.
On the grounds that we have visuals of the phenomenon under weather conditions that do not allow sunlight to produce a shadow. However much something may look like a shadow, if you can see it on an overcast day then a shadow it is not.
Other possibilities, I have pondered:
4) A stain on the wall.
This appears to be in some conflict with a photo taken right along the east wall. Then we cannot see the wall, but we still see a bright thing hanging a meter or more out from the wall at the spot. Stains are flatter than that.
5) An open door. This is a special case of 'a hole'. This is in some conflict with the apparent irregular shape of the upper boundary of the phenomenon.
6) Some wreckage from the tsunami plastered to the wall. This cannot be excluded, however improbably high this wreckage would have to have been thrown seen in relation to the measured inundation height. Waves of water is quite able to do improbable feats with things when splashing between buildings.
Do we have any idea when humans last entered the service floor of reactor 2? We hear that humans arent going inside the main reactor buildings, but I am not sure if they count the service floor as slightly different?
My idea is that no human has set foot in unit 2 since it blew. The service floor appears to be an inhospitable sauna, filled with radioactive steam.
Would they have had to remove the blast panel from the inside? And how did they obtain the spent fuel pool/skimmer surge pool water sample from unit 2 without entering some part of the building? This leads me to wonder if humans still have access to that area.
Good questions. I am not qualified to do the second question. As to the first, judging from satellite photos, the unit2 blast panel was removed or fell off at some time between 10:38 JST on March the 12th, and 9:52 JST on March 13th. (This can be known from satellite photos). I have looked for but not found any announcement from Tepco saying they removed the panel from unit 2, whereas they did announce the later deliberately made holes in unit 5/6. It might seem a bit strange if they did a precautionary removal of the unit 2 blast panel, after seeing what happened to unit 1, while not giving unit 3 the same treatment at the same occasion. I'd put my money on that it fell, rather than was removed. Within the time-frame in which the blast panel got off the building, unit 1 exploded closeby (15:36 on March the 12th) and a strong aftershock hit (22:15 on March 12th). I think it fell off, rather than was removed, but if it was removed, I think one would need to access the service floor to do it.