"TEPCO slipping behind schedule to contain accident"
http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/11_04.html
The title is almost laughable... as if there was a clear schedule to stabilize and contain this mess...
A clear strategy for containing the problem is yet to be seen 2 months after the nuclear accident occurred.
That's the very thuth!
Let's face it. We've spent here on the forum more than TWO MONTHS today discussing, analysing the infos given, trying to understand what happened and what could still happen, building theories and cutting pixels in half and more (including me!) BUT in 2 months I didn't see a credible plan from any nuclear company (including Tepco) or any nuclear agencies in the world explaining how this desaster COULD be contained. And i have more and more the impression that any schedule given will be something to create hope and give the impression that things out of any control are or "will be soon" in control. A cloud of steam to hide the core of the situation.
Maybe i missed some anticipation technical plans but really i would like to see them summarized there on this forum now after the first two months (if they ever exist). How long will we continue to lurk for tidbits of infos just being moved by day by day events? When will a global plan be discussed?
Ok Tepco has some plan to try to restore a backup closed loop cooling system reusing nitrogen pipes (any drawing of them?) on reactor N°1 which has still some containement but what else?
N°2?
N°3?
Ok I'm not in their shoes, but I'm just (like this article above) considering this simple fact: do they know what to do on a mid term/long term or NOT? My personal feeling is that they have no plan (except a draft for N°1, with lots of uncertainties) because THERE IS NO PLAN IN SUCH A SITUATION, because the nuke industry never imagined to have to handle such a situation...
So what will they do? Just keep flooding them for years (maybe 3 or 4 based on what is required for active cooling of spent fuel?)? During this time just pray for not having a new quake, a new tsunami (ohhh they are going to build a new wall in emergency, I forgot) , and not too bad typhoons. Man, let's imagine 3 seasons of typhoons washing these highly contaminated ruins and spraying radioactive materials where the winds want to bring them around... not a very sexy scenario!
And then, if we assume that after a so long time, there hasn't been any bad event like a new explosion of some kind or a fall of some fuel content of the attic SFP's, will come the time for long term containment and/or decontamination of the complete site... Where are those guys with gigantic views and nice drawings when the subject is to present the launch of some future big project for making big money? Why are they so quiet? Don't they have any credible plan? Like a nice 1 kms (or maybe even bigger) long sarcophagus, for 4 reactors and turbine buildings, that will make the Tchernobyl one a miniaturized one (the one that should be constructed to replace the old one but is still not really started, due to... lack of money and technical difficulties!)... Or whatever other plan. But i hear nothing. Just silence.
Undoubtedly, if only considering the releases in the 2 first months, and thanks to some incredible luck when you consider the details of what happened with the SFPs, this Fukushima accident could be viewed as much less severe than Tchenobyl where a bunch of radioactive material has been thrown away in the air in the first weeks. But let's now consider the time factor, and also the size factor (4 reactors plus spent fuels, so a total of 10 cores to manage!) and you will get a very different view at the "end of the story", which will be in a very long time (and this thread will die before it for sure!).
From this standpoint, no doubt that Fukushima is going to replace Tchernobyl in the minds of humanity.