Earthquake not a factor in Fukushima accident
http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/RS_Earthquake_not_a_factor_in_Fukushima_accident_0212111.html
02 December 2011
The tsunami of 11 March was the 'direct cause' of the accident at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, concluded an official investigation report. It dismissed the idea that earthquake damage was a major factor in the accident.
A safe emergency shutdown was achieved within seconds of the magnitude 9.0 earthquake, said the Fukushima Nuclear Accident Investigation Commission composed of experts independent of plant owner Tokyo Electric Power Company. Control rods were fully inserted within seconds and all 13 diesel generators started as per design when tremors disconnected the grid connection. Instrumentation was working correctly, as were cooling systems.
Shaking recorded at the site was around the maximum that the plant was designed to cope with and still maintain nuclear safety but walk-down checks by plant staff showed no indication of significant damage to coolant systems.
. . . .
I think this is premature.
Industry folks like myself are waiting to get a look inside before concluding what actually happened. Before that, we can only make some engineering/educated guesses/speculations based on external or indirect evidence. That means trying to piece together or make sense of the activity releases, the explosions, the visible damage, sounds reported by those onsite or by instrumentation, . . . .
IF the core melted, then what the instruments tell us about water levels, temperatures and pressures may not be accurate, or maybe some are, but others aren't. See the plots by Jorge Stolfi. One question then is - at what point during the event did the instrument readings become unreliable?
IF the core melted then there was essentially no cooling of the core, which essentially means no coolant in the core. The core may have melted - but at what temperature. Stainless steel melts at about 1450°C, Zircaloy-2 melts at 1800°C and the UO
2 (+TU+fission products) melts at 2800°C. On the other hand, rapid oxidation of Zircaloy occurs at lower temperatures, so that could have reacted with whatever coolant was present and produced H
2 + ZrO
2, which is the source of the hydrogen. The cladding for these units is barrier cladding, which means it has Zr-Fe liner which can oxidize pretty rapidly at high temperature. Once the Zircaloy cladding fails, the fuel (UO
2+fission products) is exposed, and at high temperature, the (M=U,Np,Pu,Am,Cm)O
2 oxidize to higher order oxides M
4O
9, M
3O
8, and MO
3, the latter of which is more soluble in water. The use of seawater, and the tsunamic flooding, complicated the scenarios regarding what happened with whatever contaminated coolant escaped. So some, or a lot, of fuel material and core could have simply chemically reacted and become an aqueous solution.
It's not yet clear at what temperature the melting occurred (IF any melting occurred) - anywhere between 1400°C and 2800°C, or perhaps slighly higher (that all depends on whether or not there was some level of heat transfer to the RPV and other structure via whatever fluid (aqueous solution, steam or gas) was present in the core).
One critical question: Was there coolant in the bottom of the RPV? That is where the control rod drive mechanisms/tubes reside. If the core melted, how did it manage to melt through the core support plate? If it did, then it had to displace any coolant present, while it melted the control rod drive mechanisms, as the then corium collected on the bottom of the RPV. Then it would have to had continue melting through the RPV (~ 5 inches or 127 mm), while melting the stainless steel guide tubes and the control rod drive mechanism (CRDMs).
Now the density of the corium is complex because it depends on the forms and proportions of melted material. Zircaloy-2 has a density of ~6500 kg/m
3, stainless steel about ~8000 kg/m
3, and UO2 about 10400 kg/m
3 (water = 1000 kg/m
3), so a molten mass can displace water.
Could the housing for the CRDMs have rupture during the earthquake? That's not clear, and TEPCO reported that the reactors scrammed. Could some other components or piping rupture during the earthquake, or during after shocks? Certainly any failure of the piping connected to the primary system would have made it difficult to get water to the core.
As for water under the RPV but in the PCV, that's not clear. If there was water present, but the rate at which a melted core dropped through the RPV was slow enough, there would not necessarily be a steam explosion.
Some useful data here (I know both authors) - http://www.ornl.gov/info/reports/1989/3445606042920.pdf
Assessment and management of ageing of major nuclear power plant components important to safety: Metal components of BWR containment systems
http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/te_1181_prn.pdf
Assessment and management of ageing of major nuclear power plant components important to safety: BWR pressure vessels.
http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/TE_1470_web.pdf
Integrity of Reactor Pressure Vessels in Nuclear Power Plants: Assessment of Irradiation
Embrittlement Effects in Reactor Pressure Vessel Steels
http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/Pub1382_web.pdf
http://nuclearsafety.info/ageing-management-and-long-term-operation/
The reactor pressure vessel (RPV) wall thicknesses for the BWR fleet were obtained from Reference 9, shown in Table 2-3. The maximum wall thickness is 7.125 inches (181 mm) and the minimum wall thickness is 4.47 inches (113.5 mm). The maximum vessel inner diameter is 254 inches (6.45 m) and the minimum vessel inner diameter is 185 inches (4.7 m).
The average wall thickness of the BWR fleet is 5.897 inches (150 mm). There is one vessel each at 4.47 inches (113.5 mm), 5.063 inches (128.6 mm) and 5.29 inches (134.4 mm). All other vessels are at 5.375 inches (137 mm) or thicker.
http://pbadupws.nrc.gov/docs/ML0906/ML090630402.pdf
9. BWR Vessel and Internal Project, BWRVIP-60-A, "Evaluation of Stress Corrosion Crack
Growth in Low Alloy Steel Vessel Materials in the BWR Environment," Technical Report
1008871, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA, June 2003.
BWRVIP-203NP: BWR Vessel and Internals Project
RPV Axial Weld Inspection Coverage Evaluation
EPRI 1016572 NP
Final Report, January 2009