dx said:
Fra,
Einstein said in one of his essays, "Physics constitutes a logical system, whose basis cannot be distilled, as it were, from experience by an inductive method, but can only be arrived at by free invention. The justification (truth content) of the system rests in the verification of the derived propositions by sense experiences, whereby the relations of the latter to the former can only be comprehended intuitively."
This seems like a reasonable way of putting it. However, I suggest that the notion of "free invention" and "intuitive comprehension" can be improved and formalised, as a sort of game of risky reasoning and learning by feedback.
Popper considered that the logic of hypothesis generation belongs to pscyhology of scientists brains, and he didn't seem to think further analysis was relevant. Instead he focused on, given a hypothesis, how can it either be falsified or corroborated.
The scientific problem of induction is based on the general almost unquestionable observation, that science infers laws and general principles from experience interacting with nature. The problem is howto describe this process? Popper thought that the inductive description isn't valid, so he came up with the deductive step of falsification, and dismissed the biggest problem to human pscyhology. Not a very satisfactory resolution.
Still, it's correct that induction such as (we've only seen white swans; therefor "there are no white swans in nature") is not a valid or satisfactory universal abstraction; no one would question that. But there is a more sophisticated way of seeing this inference - like a game. And consensus is emergent among players, in an evolving perspective. This takes on to abstract the very core of the problem that some pople dismiss to "free invention" or "human phsycology". After all the human brain is nothing but a physical system, so I don't see how a scientist can accept to dismiss such a crucial problem to "human mind" and then be satisfied.
The more inductive approach however, and in particular the version I am advocating, suggest that there is a very important feedback between the corroboration/falsification tests and the logic by which new hypothesis is generated. So the ambition is higher than than of Popper. As I see it, we are questioning the PHYSICS and the physical basis of hypothesis generation, which when you think of it, is closely related to the physical basis of expectations and information. Here we are close to QM, which suggest that different observers, having different information, have different expectatins and therefore behave differently!
The deductive focus, focuses on falsification (which is the simplest part). The inductive focus, is on how the hypothesis generator evolves (the deep part). Here comes the evolutionary view, as a possible resolution to the scientific problem of induction: Is this induction valid? Well, what doe valid me? IF it means, is it true, then NO. Instead, this is a game, a game we have no choice but to play.
In this context, the various ideas of evolving law and connecting physical interactions with the "laws of inference" (which are obviously evolving, just like physical law) are interesting.
Part of the key is I think that inference is sujbective, and thus attached to a physical observer. The different observers difference in reasoning upon incomplete information, results in disagreements, which in turn results in physical interactions. So there is an idea how to infere and classify physical interactions and phenomenology from classification evolving interacting learning models.
This a new way of reasoning that also comes with a new abstraction of the scientific method. It can even be said to have the ambition to unify the description of a scientific processes, with a physical processes.
The abstraction and simplification used by Popper is very simplistic. It's not "wrong", it's just
too simlpe, and I think we can get even more enlightened by analyzing the parts that Popper dismissed to self organisation of complex systems such as the human brain.
/Fredrik