Grad school admissions are not like undergraduate admissions. Life is not like undergrad or grad school admissions.
Annonymous111 said:
You say "hard work is not everything". What if I work hard enough to publish a math paper in a top math journal? Or what if I take enough math grad. classes that it covers more than what's covered in all the math grad. classes at Harvard?
Harvard has ten places. If you have one hundred people in the world do the same thing, it's not going to help you. If you have ten people in the world that do more than you, then you aren't going to get in.
If you have a limited number of spaces then there is a limit to the usefulness of hard work, because you work harder, so is everyone else, and in the end it ends up being a roll of the dice.
Graduate school is very different than undergraduate, because the supply/demand difference is higher, and the higher the ratio the more things depend on luck or things that you can't control. Also, the supply/demand difference is in fields other than in physics or math. Harvard admits about ten people per year for its Math Ph.D. program, but it admits about 1000 per year in its MBA program.
Dude I know PhD math graduates from Harvard and all these top tier grad. schools who really aren't that spectacular.
So do I, which makes me wonder why you are so intent on getting in.
One thing that I suspect is that "hyper-elite" admissions processes actually cause people to be less spectacular. The problem with being obsessed with Harvard is that in order to get into it, you have to do exactly what the Harvard math grad admissions committee wants you to do. That may not be a good thing. You may find that in order to get into Harvard, you'll have to do things that you don't think are good for your math development.
For example, if you spend any time teaching math rather than doing homework, that drastically lowers your chances of getting into a big name grad school. If you have a life outside of math, that reduces your chances. If you get interested in a field of math that just isn't hot, that reduces your chances.
So I'm pretty sure I'm going to get into at least one of the top 10 schools. I don't necessarily think that I'll get into Harvard but I'd be pretty surprised if I didn't get into at least one top school like Princeton, Stanford, MIT, Chicago etc.
The biggest math grad schools typically admit about ten or so people per year. The smaller ones, one or two. The places are few enough so that you could find yourself not getting into any of the big name schools, and sometimes for some random reasons.
You ask me What if I don't get into any math grad. school in the top 30?! Your argument is that since the chances of getting into Harvard are nearly zero I should have a back up plan. But the same argument tells me that the chances of NOT getting into a top 30 grad. school is also very nearly zero. That's the absolute worst case scenario that it's not worth preparing for that.
What I'm telling you is that not getting into a big name grad school is a *LIKELY* scenario that you should be preparing for, at least psychologically.
If that really happens then not getting into grad. school would be the least of my worries! It's like saying that the US will be bombed tomorow. Ain't going to happen ...
Yes it will. You may get lucky and get into Harvard grad school, but then you have post-doc hell where you run into the same then, then faculty hell where you run into the same dynamic. If you roll the dice long enough, the odds will turn against you and you will get wiped out. The important thing is that you set yourself off, so that you can keep going even when the dice go against you, and mathematically, they will at some point.
You clearly aren't interesting in absorbing what I'm telling you now, which is fine, since I'm just hoping that enough of it sticks with you so that when you do get a stack of rejection letters, you don't do anything crazy, but just feel miserable for a few days and then go forward with your math studies.
One general problem with math and physics Ph.D.'s is that people go into graduate school with wildly unrealistic views on what their situation is, and part of the problem is that the system tends to reinforce those views, so I figure it's a good thing to throw a cold dose of reality early. The good news is that reality ain't that bad.