Orodruin said:
This is incorrect. The PMNS matrix can be unitary also for Majorana neutrinos and a non-unitary mixing matrix can arise also for Dirac neutrinos.
Fair point. I see that I may have oversimplified in articulating the precise circumstances in which the assumptions of the conventional PMNS matrix with four parameters do not hold. The main thrust of my point was simply to note that there are theoretically viable scenarios in which the most widely used neutrino oscillation scheme used by experimenters measuring neutrino oscillation is not a perfect fit.
I've always been a bit fuzzy on how one would detect the two additional complex Majorana phases experimentally, and from what you say it would be difficult indeed. Do you know of any papers proposing experiments to measure them? I'd love to take a look.
In five or ten years, we will know the neutrino mass hierarchy - if we are lucky. Measuring leptonic CP-violation is a more long-term endeavour which will likely not be resolved until at least 15 years from now unless we are very very lucky with the actual value of the CP-phase.
Pessimist.
Seriously, based upon the many experiments currently operating or in the works (I'm almost out of fingers counting them), I think that in ten years (around the time my kids would be in their early graduate studies if they went into physics) we will have:
* the neutrino mass hierarchy,
* a quite restrictive upper bound on the absolute neutrino masses (with the range of masses for the heaviest neutrino having a spread on the order of 50 meV),
* a correct resolution of the unresolved theta23 quadrant,
* an order of magnitude or two improvement on any potential deviations from unitarity in the PMNS matrix, and
* a measurement of the CP-violating phase to within a sufficiently small margin of error that the measurement is not meaningless and consistent with almost any value even if it may not be a precise as we'd like (maybe +/-10-15 degrees) (hey, we've still got 50% margins of error on the up and down quark masses!). At a minimum I expect to see five sigma confirmation that the CP violating phase is non-zero.
I also expect that ten years from now we will have a one to three order of magnitude improvement in precision of neutrinoless double beta decay measurements from the current state of the art, and a one order of magnitude improvement on limits on B number or L number violating processes besides neutrinoless double beta decay.