Population Estimates Over 2000 Years: My Questions

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on estimating future population growth over a span of 2000 years. Based on the assumption of 4 generations per century and 2 descendants per generation, the projected population could reach approximately 1.2 x 10^24, indicating that millions is a more realistic estimate than thousands. The conversation highlights the need to reconsider assumptions regarding intermarriage and generational continuity, as the exponential growth suggested by the calculations is unsustainable. Historical records to support these projections were not provided in the discussion.

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Hyperspace2
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From this day , if we take in account . How much population will be my following generation at the end of
2000 years(from this day).

My question is , will the population be thousands or millions?

Will it likely be fade away in the middle and no trace remains in the end?

Any historical records of this we can present as the proof ..?
 
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Hyperspace2 said:
From this day , if we take in account . How much population will be my following generation at the end of
2000 years(from this day).

My question is , will the population be thousands or millions?

Will it likely be fade away in the middle and no trace remains in the end?

Any historical records of this we can present as the proof ..?
If you assume 4 generations per century and 2 descendents per generation, and assume no intermarriage, there would be 2 ^ 80 or roughly 1.2 x 10^24. This number is so large that some or other of the assumptions must be radically changed, but I don't know which ones or exactly how. None the less, it is easy to see that millions is more reasonable than thousands. As for historical records I don't know of any.
 
thanks for sharing
 

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