Prob. distribution with pmf and need cdf?

  • Thread starter Thread starter megr_ftw
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Cdf Distribution
Click For Summary

Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability distribution problem involving a shop owner's decision on how many copies of a magazine to order based on demand, represented by a probability mass function (pmf). The original poster is trying to determine the expected profit based on different order quantities and the associated demand probabilities.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to define random variables related to magazine sales and profits but expresses uncertainty about how to start the calculations. Some participants suggest using the given pmf for different cases and calculating expected monetary value (EMV) for each scenario.

Discussion Status

Participants are exploring different methods to approach the problem, including the use of pmf tables and EMV calculations. There is a mix of interpretations regarding how to account for costs and revenues in the profit calculations. Some guidance has been offered, but no consensus has been reached on the correct approach.

Contextual Notes

The original poster is unsure about the necessary calculations and how to apply the pmf to different order quantities. There is an indication of confusion regarding the relationship between demand outcomes and profit calculations.

megr_ftw
Messages
68
Reaction score
0

Homework Statement


X=demand for the magazine with pmf

x | 1 2 3 4
p(x)| .1 .2 .4 .3

Shop owner pays $1.00 for each copy of mag. and charges $2.00. If mags. left at end of week are not worth anything, is it better to order two, three, or four copies of the mag.?

I know i need to introduce the random variable Y_k = # of mags. sold, while R_k= the net profit if k mags are ordered.

So do I need to find the probability distributions for k=2,3,4,5 in order to answer the quesiton?? I am just lost on how to start this or how to get the pmf for Y


Homework Equations


binomial equation or tables?


The Attempt at a Solution


I don't know how to start this problem but for starters should I make a pmf table for the introduced random variable Y and R??
 
Physics news on Phys.org
i would use the given pmf for each separate case, bit of work but not unmanagable, then calculate the EMV for each case

so for case 1) buying a single magazine cost was $1
- each of the outcomes is 1 (if demand is 1,2,3 or 4) he will sell one magazine, so he makes $2 in all cases, EMV is $1.

for the rest of the cases you will need to incorporate the probs as the value of outcomes will vary
 
for k=2 i got 3.8 as the profit
but for k=3 what do i change in my formula when referring to the pmf chart??
 
are you sure that is profit for k=2, you need to account for the cost of buying 2 magazines
 
Last edited:
though what you have i think is done correctly but is the revenue
 

Similar threads

Replies
2
Views
1K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
2K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
5K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K
Replies
1
Views
1K
Replies
2
Views
4K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
1K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
2K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
2K
Replies
1
Views
2K