Probability distribution of first arrival time in Poisson Process

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the probability distribution of the first arrival time in a Poisson process, specifically addressing the calculation of the waiting time's probability density function. The probability for the waiting time to observe the first arrival is given by P(T1>t)=exp(-lambda*t). The probability density function for the waiting time itself is expressed as P(T1=t)=λe^(-λt), where λ represents the rate of the Poisson process. This highlights the continuous nature of the distribution, confirming that the probability of T1 equaling a specific value is zero.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Poisson processes
  • Familiarity with probability density functions
  • Knowledge of exponential functions
  • Basic calculus for continuous distributions
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the properties of Poisson processes in detail
  • Learn about the derivation of probability density functions
  • Explore applications of exponential distributions in real-world scenarios
  • Investigate the relationship between Poisson processes and other stochastic processes
USEFUL FOR

Mathematicians, statisticians, data scientists, and anyone involved in modeling random events or analyzing arrival times in stochastic processes.

phyalan
Messages
21
Reaction score
0
According to wiki:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_process

The probability for the waiting time to observe first arrival in a Poisson process P(T1>t)=exp(-lambda*t)
But what is the Probability Distribution P(T1=t) of the waiting time itself? How to calculate that?
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Since the waiting time has a continuous distribution, the probability of T1 having a particular value = 0. I suppose you would want the density function, λe-λt.
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
2K
Replies
8
Views
3K
  • · Replies 12 ·
Replies
12
Views
4K
Replies
8
Views
3K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
1K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
3K
  • · Replies 37 ·
2
Replies
37
Views
5K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
3K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K