Two very similar probability questions, just need a confirmation

  • Thread starter Thread starter GandhiReborn
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability
AI Thread Summary
The discussion revolves around two probability questions related to the weights of paperbacks and hardbacks in a second-hand bookshop, both of which are normally distributed. For Question 1, the combined mean and standard deviation were calculated for one paperback and two hardbacks, leading to a probability of 0.23009 using Excel's NORMDIST function. In Question 2, the participant focused on the second dataset, calculating the mean and standard deviation for 14 hardbacks, resulting in a probability of 0.493. Both calculations were confirmed as correct by other participants in the thread. The discussion emphasizes the application of normal distribution principles in practical scenarios.
GandhiReborn
Messages
11
Reaction score
0

Homework Statement



Question 1)

A second hand bookshop owner notes that the weights (in gram) of paperbacks are Normally distributed with mean m1 and standard deviation s1, while the weights (again, in grams) of hardbacks are Normally distributed with mean m2 and standard deviation s2, where

m1 = 246, s1 = 16,
m2 = 306, s2 = 20,

Assume that the books are chosen at random.

Let x = 834.

Then the probability that one paperback and two hardback together weigh less than x grammes is:


Question 2)

A second hand bookshop owner notes that the weights (in grams) of paperbacks are Normally distributed with mean m1 and standard deviation s1, while the weights (again, in grams) of hardbacks are Normally distributed with mean m2 and standard deviation s2, where

m1 = 243, s1 = 12,
m2 = 303, s2 = 16,

Assume that the books are chosen at random.

Let M = 14, a = 4243, b = 4843.

Then the probability that a selection of M different hardbacks weighs between a and b grams is

2. The attempt at a solution


Question 1)

I said we would have to form a combined normal distribution, but first we must take the mean and variance of the paperbacks and multiply them by the number of books we are considering, 2.
Then we would add these values to the variance and mean of the hardbacks. This gives a new standard deviation = 32.496 (having sqrt'd the variance) and a new mean of 858.

Following this and using Excel, calculation would be simply "=normdist(834,858,32.496,true) to give us a probability of 0.23009 - is this correct?

Question 2)

I didn't understand whether both pieces of data was needed, so I just took the second set. Similar to before, I worked out the variance of that dataset, multiplied it by the number of books being considered - 14 - then took the new standard deviation. I also multiplied the mean by 14.

Then I just used the function =NORMDIST(4843,4242,59.867,TRUE)-NORMDIST(4243,4242,59.867,TRUE) and that gave me the final answer of 0.493.

Again, is this correct?



Thank you!
 
Physics news on Phys.org
GandhiReborn said:

Homework Statement



Question 1)

A second hand bookshop owner notes that the weights (in gram) of paperbacks are Normally distributed with mean m1 and standard deviation s1, while the weights (again, in grams) of hardbacks are Normally distributed with mean m2 and standard deviation s2, where

m1 = 246, s1 = 16,
m2 = 306, s2 = 20,

Assume that the books are chosen at random.

Let x = 834.

Then the probability that one paperback and two hardback together weigh less than x grammes is:


Question 2)

A second hand bookshop owner notes that the weights (in grams) of paperbacks are Normally distributed with mean m1 and standard deviation s1, while the weights (again, in grams) of hardbacks are Normally distributed with mean m2 and standard deviation s2, where

m1 = 243, s1 = 12,
m2 = 303, s2 = 16,

Assume that the books are chosen at random.

Let M = 14, a = 4243, b = 4843.

Then the probability that a selection of M different hardbacks weighs between a and b grams is

2. The attempt at a solution


Question 1)

I said we would have to form a combined normal distribution, but first we must take the mean and variance of the paperbacks and multiply them by the number of books we are considering, 2.
Then we would add these values to the variance and mean of the hardbacks. This gives a new standard deviation = 32.496 (having sqrt'd the variance) and a new mean of 858.

Following this and using Excel, calculation would be simply "=normdist(834,858,32.496,true) to give us a probability of 0.23009 - is this correct?

Question 2)

I didn't understand whether both pieces of data was needed, so I just took the second set. Similar to before, I worked out the variance of that dataset, multiplied it by the number of books being considered - 14 - then took the new standard deviation. I also multiplied the mean by 14.

Then I just used the function =NORMDIST(4843,4242,59.867,TRUE)-NORMDIST(4243,4242,59.867,TRUE) and that gave me the final answer of 0.493.

Again, is this correct?



Thank you!

Your answers are correct and your reasoning is good.
 
  • Like
Likes 1 person
Awesome, massively appreciate the kind words and confirmation - thank you :D
 
Back
Top