Type Ia Supernovae Evidence of Cosmic Deceleration & Acceleration

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The discovery of 16 Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) using the Hubble Space Telescope provides strong evidence for a transition from cosmic deceleration to acceleration, occurring around redshift z=0.46. This sample includes six of the highest-redshift SNe Ia, contributing to a more comprehensive Hubble diagram. The findings support the cosmic concordance model, indicating a matter density of Omega_M ~ 0.3 and dark energy density of Omega_Lambda ~ 0.7, while contradicting simple evolution or dust models. The analysis yields precise constraints on the equation of state of dark energy, suggesting it remains static with w=-1.02, and challenges the notion of rapid dark energy evolution. Overall, the results enhance understanding of the Universe's expansion history and the role of dark energy.
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http://arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0402512

We have discovered 16 Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) with the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) and have used them to provide the first conclusive evidence for cosmic deceleration that preceded the current epoch of cosmic acceleration. These objects, discovered during the course of the GOODS ACS Treasury program, include 6 of the 7 highest-redshift SNe Ia known, all at z>1.25, and populate the Hubble diagram in unexplored territory. The luminosity distances to these and 170 previous SNe Ia are provided. A purely kinematic interpretation of the SN Ia sample provides evidence at the > 99% confidence level for a transition from deceleration to acceleration or similarly, strong evidence for a cosmic jerk. Using a simple model of the expansion history, the transition between the two epochs is constrained to be at z=0.46 +/- 0.13. The data are consistent with the cosmic concordance model of Omega_M ~ 0.3, Omega_Lambda~0.7 (chi^2_dof=1.06), and are inconsistent with a simple model of evolution or dust as an alternative to dark energy. For a flat Universe with a cosmological constant. When combined with external flat-Universe constraints we find w=-1.02 + 0.13 - 0.19 (and $<-0.76 at the 95% confidence level) for an assumed static equation of state of dark energy, P = w\rho c^2. Joint constraints on both the recent equation of state of dark energy, $w_0$, and its time evolution, dw/dz, are a factor of ~8 more precise than its first estimate and twice as precise as those without the SNe Ia discovered with HST. Our constraints are consistent with the static nature of and value of w expected for a cosmological constant (i.e., w_0 = -1.0, dw/dz = 0), and are inconsistent with very rapid evolution of dark energy. We address consequences of evolving dark energy for the fate of the Universe.
 
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A goodie from GOODS!

Anyone like to comment on this, immediately after reading the Liddle paper which wolfram posted recently?
 
Alike and Bayesian.
http://www.mathworks.com/access/helpdesk/help/toolbox/garch/selecti3.shtml
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thought i should include the A and B site
 
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