Understanding Probability: A Review of Elementary Concepts for Scientists

tzx9633

Homework Statement



I'm asked to find the P (T < ?? ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005
2. Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution


From the table , we could notice that P (T > 2.779) , v= 26 , α = 0.005 ,
So , i think the ans should be P (T < -2.779 ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005 ,

But the ans is P (T < 2.779) , why ?
Is the ans wrong ?
 

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tzx9633 said:

Homework Statement



I'm asked to find the P (T < ?? ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005
2. Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution


From the table , we could notice that P (T > 2.779) , v= 26 , α = 0.005 ,
So , i think the ans should be P (T < -2.779 ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005 ,

But the ans is P (T < 2.779) , why ?
Is the ans wrong ?

I depends on what the "##\alpha = 0.005##" is supposed to mean.

If you are performing a right-tail test you would want an upper-tail probability of no more than 0.005, so you would be seeking ##t_R## giving ##P(T > t_R) = 0.005##, or ##P(T < t_R) = 0.995##. However, if you are performing a left-tail test you want a value of ##t_L## giving ##P(T < t_L) = 0.005##. So, you are being asked to find either ##t_R## or ##t_L##. Your included diagram and table assume a right-tail test.
 
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tzx9633 said:

Homework Statement



I'm asked to find the P (T < ?? ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005
2. Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution


From the table , we could notice that P (T > 2.779) , v= 26 , α = 0.005 ,
So , i think the ans should be P (T < -2.779 ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005 ,

But the ans is P (T < 2.779) , why ?
Is the ans wrong ?
Just look at the table in the intersection of the row for ##\alpha=0.005 ## and ##v=26##, it gives you precisely the value ##2.779##. What is the question?
 
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Ray Vickson said:
I depends on what the "##\alpha = 0.005##" is supposed to mean.

If you are performing a right-tail test you would want an upper-tail probability of no more than 0.005, so you would be seeking ##t_R## giving ##P(T > t_R) = 0.005##, or ##P(T < t_R) = 0.995##. However, if you are performing a left-tail test you want a value of ##t_L## giving ##P(T < t_L) = 0.005##. So, you are being asked to find either ##t_R## or ##t_L##. Your included diagram and table assume a right-tail test.
Yes , the table is for right tail test . I am provided with this table and I'm asked this question . So , the ans should be P (T < -2.779) , am i right ?
 
WWGD said:
Just look at the table in the intersection of the row for ##\alpha=0.005 ## and ##v=26##, it gives you precisely the value ##2.779##. What is the question?
the question is find
P (T < ?? ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005
 
tzx9633 said:
the question is find
P (T < ?? ) , v= 26 , α = 0.005
That is badly stated: ##\alpha = 0.005## refers to the test, so that you want to find a critical value ##t_c## such that ##P(T > t_c) =0.005##. If you are being asked to solve
$$ P(T < ?) = 0.005$$
that is a completely different issue.
 
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Ray Vickson said:
That is badly stated: ##\alpha = 0.005## refers to the test, so that you want to find a critical value ##t_c## such that ##P(T > t_c) =0.005##. If you are being asked to solve
$$ P(T < ?) = 0.005$$
that is a completely different issue.
Back to the question , should the ans be P (T < -2.779)?
 
tzx9633 said:
Back to the question , should the ans be P (T < -2.779)?
You tell me; it is your question, on your homework.
 
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tzx : If I understand correctly, you are asking which numerical value , in a t-distribution with ##v=26## will give you a probability ##\alpha =0.05 ## or less. May I suggest a rephrase :
Find a value T in a t-distribution with ##v=26##, so that ##P(t<T) < 0.05 ## ?
 
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  • #10
WWGD said:
tzx : If I understand correctly, you are asking which numerical value , in a t-distribution with ##v=26## will give you a probability ##\alpha =0.05 ## or less. May I suggest a rephrase :
Find a value T in a t-distribution with ##v=26##, so that ##P(t<T) < 0.05 ## ?
ok , thanks , the question now is changed to : Find a value T in a t-distribution with ##v=26##, so that ##P(t<T) < 0.05 ## ?

So , the ans is P (T < -2.779) ??
 
  • #11
This is a sort of reverse of the standard problem of finding the probability ##P(T<t)##, where T is known. Instead, you find to find the value ##T ## so that the probability is less than ##\alpha =0.05## . Can you look at your table and take it from there?
 
  • #12
WWGD said:
This is a sort of reverse of the standard problem of finding the probability ##P(T<t)##, where T is known. Instead, you find to find the value ##T ## so that the probability is less than ##\alpha =0.05## . Can you look at your table and take it from there?
No , the table provided is for ##P(T>t)## , for ##P(T<t)## i am not sure , i just want to verify my concept , can i use ##P(T<-2.279)## ?
 
  • #13
tzx9633 said:
No , the table provided is for ##P(T>t)## , for ##P(T<t)## i am not sure , i just want to verify my concept , can i use ##P(T<-2.279)## ?

Are you saying that if you know ##P(T > w) = p## you cannot figure out how to find ##P(T < w)?##
 
  • #14
Ray Vickson said:
Are you saying that if you know ##P(T > w) = p## you cannot figure out how to find ##P(T < w)?##
yes , i am only familiar with normal distribution , but not sure about t -distribution , can i do so for the t-distribution ?
 
  • #15
tzx9633 said:
yes , i am only familiar with normal distribution , but not sure about t -distribution , can i do so for the t-distribution ?

You need to go back and review elementary probability. The question you are asking has nothing at all to do with whether you are dealing with the t-distribution, the normal distribution or any other continuous distribution at all.

I am not going to answer the question, because that would be a violation of PF policy. But, I am serious: you need to review some very, very basic material.
 

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