Thanks for handling that first point, mfb. the CMB comes from the Big Bang, not Inflation. As mfb pointed out, all that would be different is that we wouldn't expect thermal equilibrium within the CMB from a pure Big Bang model, which is a moot point, because the CMB is clearly in equilibrium whether or not inflation took place.
Also, let's take a look at another method used to measure Ω: standard candles. Astronomers have collected data on type 1a supernovas at many different z values, corresponding to varying points in the universe's history. Since we know that all type 1a supernovas have an essentially identical brightness. We can use the apparent magnitude and redshift to determine the expansion of space between us and the supernova throughout history, and these results are in perfect agreement with measurements from WMAP and Sloan Sky Survey results on the CMB, that the universe has been at critical density from the very beginning. I think you'll agree that this standard candle method cannot be influenced by Inflantion, since the inflationary period happened LONG before any type 1a supernovas could possibly have taken place. So what we can say with absolute certainty is that the curvature of space has not changed since recombination, when the CMB formed, nor since the epoch at which type 1a supernovas began. These happened after inflation, and thus, regardless of whether Inflation truly did happen, the universe was very closely flat from very early on.
I still think, Bruce, that you have the flatness problem wrong. By the 1970's, scientists had realized that at the Big Bang, had Ω been minutely greater than or less than 1, that small amount of curvature would have blown up extremely quickly, much faster than 13.5 billion years. In the case of very slightly above 1, the universe would have quickly recollapsed due to closed curvature. Remember that open and close curvatures change throughout time. Ω>1 grows very rapidly to infinite, and Ω < 1 goes very quickly to zero. Even in the 70's, when we hadn't figured out the cosmological constant, the density of matter as a fraction of critical density was directly observed to be 0.3. Had that really been the whole universe, and had the rest been negative curvature, it would STILL be incompatible with a universe that was even slightly open at the big bang, because 13.5 billion years later, matter density would have essentially become negligible. With the discovery of dark matter, the problem was exacerbated. This is the flatness problem.
And don't worry about sounding hostile, I love good, lively debate about cosmology!
