What is the Least Value of K for Advancement in a Binomial Distribution Game?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around determining the least value of k in a binomial distribution game involving drawing colored balls from a bag. Participants analyze the probability that all players in a sample of 10 proceed to the next round based on their earnings from drawing blue balls. The scope includes mathematical reasoning and probability calculations related to binomial distributions.

Discussion Character

  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Technical explanation
  • Homework-related

Main Points Raised

  • Participants describe a game where players draw balls from a bag containing red, blue, and green balls, with the goal of determining a threshold k for advancing in the tournament.
  • It is noted that the number of blue balls drawn follows a binomial distribution, X~B(10, $\frac{1}{3}$).
  • Some participants express the need for the probability that all players proceed to the next round to be less than 0.1, leading to the condition $[P(X>n)]^{10} < 0.1$.
  • There is a calculation involving cumulative probabilities, with a specific mention that $n=2$ is the smallest number of wins such that $P(X≤n)>0.206$.
  • Participants highlight the importance of including all relevant information in the question, indicating that the earnings per blue ball drawn are $0.50.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally agree on the structure of the problem and the calculations involved, but there is a disagreement regarding the completeness of the initial question, with multiple requests for additional information to clarify the context.

Contextual Notes

There are limitations in the initial posts regarding the completeness of the question, which affects the clarity of the discussion. The dependency on specific definitions and assumptions about the game and the probability calculations is also noted.

Punch
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A bag contains 4 red, 5 blue and 6 green balls. The balls are indistinguishable except for their colour. A trial consists of drawing a ball at random from the bag, noting its colour and replacing it in the bag. A game is plated by performing 10 trials in all.

At the start of the tournament, each player plays the above game once. Players who earned more than k dollars proceed to the next round. Find the least value of k such that, in a random sample of 10 players, the probability that all 10 players proceed to the next round is less than 0.1.

Let X be the number of blue balls drew.

X~B(10,$\frac{1}{3}$)

$[P(X>n)]^{10} < 0.1$ where $n=\frac{k}{0.50}$

$1-P(X $≤ $n) <0.794$

$P(X $≤ $n) > 0.206$
 
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Punch said:
A bag contains 4 red, 5 blue and 6 green balls. The balls are indistinguishable except for their colour. A trial consists of drawing a ball at random from the bag, noting its colour and replacing it in the bag. A game is plated by performing 10 trials in all.

At the start of the tournament, each player plays the above game once. Players who earned more than k dollars proceed to the next round. Find the least value of k such that, in a random sample of 10 players, the probability that all 10 players proceed to the next round is less than 0.1.

Let X be the number of blue balls drew.

X~B(10,$\frac{1}{3}$)

$[P(X>n)]^{10} < 0.1$ where $n=\frac{k}{0.50}$

$1-P(X $≤ $n) <0.794$

$P(X $≤ $n) > 0.206$

Incomplete question. Please include all the relevant information to the question in the thread with the question.

CB
 
CaptainBlack said:
Incomplete question. Please include all the relevant information to the question in the thread with the question.

CB

Sorry! The missing part is: For each blue ball obtained, the player earns $0.50
 
Punch said:
Sorry! The missing part is: For each blue ball obtained, the player earns $0.50

OK, so make a table of b(i,10,1/3):

Code:
            i     b(i,10,1/3)
            ----------------
            0     0.0173415 
            1     0.0867076 
            2      0.195092 
            3      0.260123 
            4      0.227608 
            5      0.136565 
            6     0.0569019 
            7     0.0162577 
            8    0.00304832 
            9   0.000338702 
           10  1.69351e-005

Now you need another column with the cumulative sum ...

(n=2 is the smallest number of wins such that P(X<=n)>0.206)

CB
 

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