What is the Probability of Double Bulb Failure within a Given Time Period?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of failure for bulbs in lamps, specifically focusing on a scenario where two bulbs in one lamp and one bulb in another lamp are analyzed for their failure rates over specified time periods. The subject area includes probability theory and exponential distributions.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants are exploring the application of exponential density functions to model bulb failures, questioning the formulation of the probability equations and the appropriate regions for integration. There is also discussion about the independence of bulb failures and how to express the probability of simultaneous failures.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants raising questions about the mathematical setup and assumptions involved in the problem. Some have suggested reconsidering the formulation of the probability expressions, while others are clarifying the relationship between the variables involved.

Contextual Notes

Participants are working under the constraints of homework guidelines, which may limit the information they can use or the methods they can apply. There is an emphasis on understanding the underlying principles rather than arriving at a final solution.

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Homework Statement



a) A lamp has two bulbs of a type with an average lifetime of 1000 hours. Assuming that we can modelthe probability of failure of these bulbs by an exponential density function \mu = 1000, find the probability that both of the lamps bulbs will fail within 100 hours.

b) Another lamp has just one bulb of the same type as in part (a). if one bulb burns out and is replaced by a bulb of the same time, find the probability that the two bulbs fail within a total of 1000 hours.

Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



I'm pretty sure \mu = double integral on a region D of xf(x,y)dA but I don't know what my region or f(x,y) would be.
 
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1) Think about the support for exponential.
2) Why do you think it's x*f(x,y)?
 
formula's from my textbook give

\mu1 = double integral over the region of x*f(x,y)
and same for \mu2 with y*f(x,y)

It's the same as solving for mass and centre of mass over a region with double integrals
 
Well you want P(bulb1 fails and bulb2 fails) they are independent, so can you rewrite that?
 

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