What is the Probability of Getting 13 out of 46?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of a specific outcome (getting 13 out of 46) in a given context. Participants explore the implications of different assumptions regarding the total number of possibilities and the specific conditions under which the probability is calculated.

Discussion Character

  • Mathematical reasoning
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants assert that the total number of possibilities must be carefully considered, particularly in relation to the specific subset of individuals (e.g., boys) relevant to the problem.
  • One participant suggests that the probability should be calculated as $\displaystyle\frac{13}{38}$, indicating a focus on a specific group.
  • Another participant counters this by stating that the correct approach involves dividing the number of boys who watch television by the total number of boys, implying a need for clarity in the conditions of the problem.
  • At least one participant proposes the probability as $\displaystyle\frac{13}{46}$, suggesting a different interpretation of the total population involved.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not appear to reach a consensus on the correct probability calculation, with multiple competing views regarding the total number of possibilities and the relevant subsets of the population.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved assumptions regarding the definitions of the groups involved and the conditions under which the probabilities are calculated. The discussion reflects uncertainty about how to correctly interpret the problem.

karush
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View attachment 1210

the numbers in () and boxes are mine, easy problem but still can make mistakes..(Wasntme)
 
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karush said:
View attachment 1210

the numbers in () and boxes are mine, easy problem but still can make mistakes..(Wasntme)

Hey karush!

Your table looks just fine and so is your answer to the first question.

However, for the second question, you have to consider what the total number of possibilities is. Apparently you thought it was a 100, but then you did not take into account that it is given that it is a boy. You should look only at the boys.
 
I like Serena said:
Hey karush!

Your table looks just fine and so is your answer to the first question.

However, for the second question, you have to consider what the total number of possibilities is. Apparently you thought it was a 100, but then you did not take into account that it is given that it is a boy. You should look only at the boys.

see what you mean, so it should be $\displaystyle\frac{13}{38}$
 
karush said:
see what you mean, so it should be $\displaystyle\frac{13}{38}$

Nope. Not yet.
It should be the number of boys that watch television divided by the total number of boys.
You just calculated the probability that a student is a boy, given that (s)he prefers to watch television.
 
$\displaystyle\frac{13}{46}$ :cool:
 

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