When will fusion power be economically viable?

AI Thread Summary
Hydrogen fusion power stations are projected to reach economic viability approximately 15-20 years after achieving breakeven, which has been anticipated for the last 30 years. Some experts express skepticism about the timeline, suggesting that large-scale commercial production could take up to 50 years or more due to various challenges. There is a belief that the break-even point may have been reached over a decade ago, although predictions in science are inherently uncertain. The discussion also touches on the potential impact of cold fusion technology on the timeline for fusion energy. Overall, optimism about fusion power's near-term viability is tempered by historical delays and ongoing technical hurdles.
tozhan
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Can anyone here tell me how long it will be (roughly) until hydrogen fusion power stations are producing energy at economic rates? it can't be far off can it?

thx
 
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I too have pondered that very question, I personally have no idea but hope to hear any info on it.
 
Breakeven has been somewhere between 5 and 15yrs down the road for the last 30yrs. It may wll be 15-20 yrs after breakeven is achieved before comericail plants become viable. Do not hold your breath waiting for this. Being somewhat of a pesimist I think it is about even odds that in 100yrs man kind will live in technology wonder land or the stone age.
 
agreed, i personally feel the later is more probable. :( Thanks for the info on fusion power stations.
 
I'm next door to couple of fusion guys and the late estimates seem, unfortunately, the likely ones. Any sort of "large scale" (=commercial level) production 50 years, add what comes down the road and all other non-technical & scientifical problems -> really long.
 
Integral said:
Breakeven has been somewhere between 5 and 15yrs down the road for the last 30yrs. It may wll be 15-20 yrs after breakeven is achieved before comericail plants become viable.
While doing research for an argument on another forum, I found that the break even point was reached over 10 years ago. I wish I kept the link for it.
 
Science can never be predected.

The answer depends on when will coldfusion become mainstream.
 
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