When Will Fusion Work? Insights from ITER and Expert Opinions

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    Fusion Work
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Fusion energy is anticipated to be viable in about 50 years, similar to past predictions, due to ongoing technological, political, and economic challenges. ITER is expected to achieve a net energy gain but will not produce electricity; the subsequent DEMO project is still conceptual and may struggle with cost-effectiveness. The U.S. fusion community expresses concerns about ITER's potential issues, such as disruptions and material durability in harsh environments. While some countries are actively pursuing fusion technology, the timeline remains uncertain and heavily influenced by funding and policy decisions. Overall, the path to practical fusion energy is complex and fraught with obstacles, leading to skepticism about its timeline.
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Hi!

I am just asking a question a friend of mine asked me: "When will fusion work?"

I personly think it is not a question of if as much a question of when.

I am a little bit lazy here but I have read the ITER information a while ago and I think they said very confidently that this new Tokamak will give more energy out than is put in.

It would be very nice if someone competent would care to comment on the above.

Roger
 
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rogerk8 said:
I am a little bit lazy here but I have read the ITER information a while ago and I think they said very confidently that this new Tokamak will give more energy out than is put in.
That is expected, but ITER won't produce electricity. The planned DEMO, to be built based on ITER results, might demonstrate the viability of a power plant, including estimates of the costs.
 
When will fusion work? Without a sudden breakthrough, probably about 50 years from now.
 
"When will fusion work?"
As a fusion researcher the honest truth is that nobody knows, but unless there are major changes/breakthroughs its not going to be any time soon. There are technological issues, but there are also political and economic issues. Currently some European (Germany) and Asian (China, Korea, Japan) countries are serious about developing fusion as a power technology. They are the ones building the next generation research facilities that are needed to support ITER. IMO it is the future policies of these countries that will likely dictate when fusion will work.

I am a little bit lazy here but I have read the ITER information a while ago and I think they said very confidently that this new Tokamak will give more energy out than is put in.

There is a lot of angst in the US fusion community with regards to ITER. Yes we expect that a tokamak with ITER's parameters to ignite. But the story isn't that simple. We know that ELM's and disruptions are going to be problematic. Both of which have potential to cause major damage. Avoiding or mitigating these events is essential to the success of ITER, and they are major thrusts of research. While there are a number of promising solutions, there are currently no guarantees! There are also serious concerns about first wall materials. The inside of a burning tokamak is an incredibly harsh environment, and there are few if any known materials that can withstand that environment for long periods of time.

The planned DEMO
I just want to stress that there are no plans for DEMO. DEMO is just an idea, and the necessary "objectives" of DEMO differs greatly. For example you mention demonstrating economic competitiveness. I'd argue that as an experimental power plant, DEMO is likely going to have a lower duty cycle. It is also going to be a unique first of a kind facility. Both of these are going to greatly increase its cost of electricity. As a result DEMO is inherently poorly suited to demonstrate the economic feasibility of fusion.
 
Drakkith said:
When will fusion work? Without a sudden breakthrough, probably about 50 years from now.

Fusion is 50 years away, just like it was 50 years ago...

:-p
 
cjl said:
Fusion is 50 years away, just like it was 50 years ago...

:-p

As someone fascinated with controlled fusion from the 1950s (thinking, circa 1960, in elementary school, that laser ignition of lithium deuteride pellets was the way to go - for some reason I was quite confident of this :redface:), my perception is that the time between now and commercial fusion has slowly increased over time. In 25 years, then 30 years, then 40, then 50 ...
 
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cjl said:
Fusion is 50 years away, just like it was 50 years ago...

:-p


What would the world be without pessimists? :)
 
Of course, in the absence of being in the "Nuclear Engineering" forum, we can give many silly answers to the question "when will fusion work"?

1) It has worked fine for nearly 14 billion years.
2) Man made fusion has worked fine for over 60 years for some (MAD) purposes
 
Fusion is the ultimate counterexample to those who say that any technological breakthrough comes sooner than expected. This attitude is nothing but a case of selective memory - many times yes, many times no, sometimes with a vengeance.
 
  • #10
the_wolfman said:
I just want to stress that there are no plans for DEMO. DEMO is just an idea, and the necessary "objectives" of DEMO differs greatly.
Let me rephrase that: it appears on timelines, andthere are estimates how some important parameters would look like.

For example you mention demonstrating economic competitiveness. I'd argue that as an experimental power plant, DEMO is likely going to have a lower duty cycle. It is also going to be a unique first of a kind facility. Both of these are going to greatly increase its cost of electricity. As a result DEMO is inherently poorly suited to demonstrate the economic feasibility of fusion.
I said DEMO should help to do that estimate. I did not say DEMO would be such an estimate itself.

cjl said:
Fusion is 50 years away, just like it was 50 years ago...

:-p
50 years ago, scientists planned with more money.
If you cut funding, timelines extend (or stay constant even with scientific progress). That is quite natural.
 
  • #11
mfb said:
If you cut funding, timelines extend (or stay constant even with scientific progress). That is quite natural.

I don't think that is very relevant. Many other technologies came sooner than expected despite politics of funding. Further, funding for fusion only decreased after multiple predictions failed. To my mind, predicting future technology you have a range of possibilities:

- something unforeseen makes a challenge much easier
- development goes roughly as guessed
- something unforeseen makes progress harder than expected

Examples of the first are numerous and obvious. I would say rocketry is an example of the second case. Fusion is the clearest example I know of for the third case. True AI is perhaps another, but for that, there never was a consensus of expert opinion. For fusion, it really seemed less difficult 50 years ago than today.
 
  • #12
I don't doubt that fusion has some unforeseen problems. I just think they are problems that new fusion test reactors can solve, and that we see the same for solved issues in the past.
 
  • #13
Frankly, at this point I wish fusion (and solar and wind and clean coal to lesser extent) would just go away. Hope for these Salvation technologies steals focus, funding and political capital from fission, which is a significantly underutilized Now technology.
 
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  • #14
I like fission, but it has some acceptance problems in many countries.
It is not more dangerous than some other types of electricity production, but it is way easier to induce fears and bad news about it.
 
  • #15
russ_watters said:
Frankly, at this point I wish fusion (and solar and wind and clean coal to lesser extent) would just go away. Hope for these Salvation technologies steals focus, funding and political capital from fission, which is a significantly underutilized Now technology.

I kind of agree with you here. But fusion would be cleaner and hydrogen is abundant.

As the situation is right now I am actually longing for some politically incorrect power company to claim that they are only supplying fission power.

Roger
 
  • #16
mfb said:
I like fission, but it has some acceptance problems in many countries.
It is not more dangerous than some other types of electricity production, but it is way easier to induce fears and bad news about it.

This is the fallacy of the current enviromental movement. They've blocked construction of new fission plants, and then site 50 year old technology as examples of why we shouldn't be building fission plants. (The same goes with oil pipelines but that's off topic)

I can't remember the chaps name, but I think its telling that one of the most ardent anti-fission activists in the 70's has done an 180 switch and now supports them whole heartly.
 
  • #17
It is a strange thing with these transmutation reactors. They seem to exist but no one talks about them. I wonder why because what they do is that they make hazardous nuclear waste less hazardous by some genious means.

May the lack of discussion come from the fact that things are still and simply radioactive?

Roger
 
  • #18
cpscdave said:
This is the fallacy of the current enviromental movement. They've blocked construction of new fission plants, and then site 50 year old technology as examples of why we shouldn't be building fission plants. (The same goes with oil pipelines but that's off topic)
What do you mean with "this"?
Your post is just another argument why nuclear reactors are not as problematic as they are perceived by many.

rogerk8 said:
It is a strange thing with these transmutation reactors. They seem to exist
They do not (yet?).
They would reduce the amount of problematic nuclear waste.
 
  • #19
I'm mostly surprised that the government took as long as it did here in the US to cease LENR funding.

The Fukushima disaster hasn't helped fission one bit.

I thought 30 years was the standard for when fusion would become viable for net power generation? Has there been any more breakthroughs since the paper on "pockets of impurity" was published? I think that was like three years ago.
 
  • #20
Because I'm a lazy guy and would like to put it on the table, I wonder when ITER will be operational (test-wise, that is).

Roger
 
  • #21
Not convinced about the effectiveness of 'transmutation reactors'.
Most nuclear contaminated material has minute amounts of radioactive isotope in a matrix of millions of times more conventional material. Irradiating the lot in order to eliminate one problem risks creating a dozen new ones. So the only place where this might be useful is for reprocessing nuclear fuel, which gets back to breeders and thorium reactors.
 
  • #22
rogerk8 said:
Because I'm a lazy guy and would like to put it on the table, I wonder when ITER will be operational (test-wise, that is).
"When it's done". See the ITER timeline for current plans, but it is unlikely that they will remain unchanged since ~2020.

@etudiant: A chemical separation of different elements would be the first step. Transmutation mainly burns transactinids (elements heavier than uranium), if you manage to split them they usually give isotopes with better properties (much shorter or much longer lifetime).
 
  • #23
mfb said:
"When it's done". See the ITER timeline for current plans, but it is unlikely that they will remain unchanged since ~2020.

@etudiant: A chemical separation of different elements would be the first step. Transmutation mainly burns transactinids (elements heavier than uranium), if you manage to split them they usually give isotopes with better properties (much shorter or much longer lifetime).

Sounds messy to me.
A chemical separation of a mass of seriously radioactive materials will not be cheap or clean.
It is of course feasible, but it also leaves a substantial volume of contaminated spent reagents, plus of course a radioactive separation facility. The LFTR might wind up relatively simpler and cheaper.
 
  • #24
Handling radioactive material is not so problematic if you don't need humans nearby. The chemical reactions would not lead to additional radioactivity, they would just split the material in parts mainly with short-living isotopes (-> can be stored until the material is decayed), very long-living isotopes (does not produce heat, is easier to store forever) and transactinids -> transmutation.
 
  • #25
Some ITER data:

1) Component Assembly Start: 2014
2) Operational: 2019
3) Temperature: 150 Million Degrees
4) Magnetic Flux Density: 13 Tesla
5) Cooling Temperature: 4 Kelvin (-269 Degrees)

My memory is bad but something was said about pellets which could be injected into the plasma to control ELMs(?) which are a kind of instability which I know from courses has been much of a problem in Tokamaks. These pellets I think where made of pure DT-fuel and thus stabelizis the plasma. There was even a feature that made the trajectory of the pellets to be curved thus intersecting "eruptions" wherever they might occur.

More interesting info: http://www.iter.org/

Roger
 
  • #26
rogerk8 said:
Some ITER [STRIKE]data[/STRIKE]:
Goals.
 
  • #27
I do however not understand why they insist on DT-fuel. As far as I understand this kind of fuel requires even higher temperatures than in the core of the sun (ten times higher actually). Another drawback is, while Deuterium is abundant, Tritium is not and will have to be breeded at site with the use of Lithium. Actually the total amount of Tritium on the planet is said to be some 10kg only.

Could anyone explain why ordinary Hydrogen fusion is out of the question?

Roger
 
  • #28
As far as I understand this kind of fuel requires even higher temperatures than in the core of the sun (ten times higher actually).
The higher temperatures are needed to counter the lower pressure in the reactor, with a higher required power density. The sun has an enormous pressure we cannot even dream to recreate in tokamaks, and at the same time the power density is something like 40W/m3 - way too low for a reactor.
DT is the easiest fuel. All other fuels need even higher temperatures or give way lower reaction rates (usually both at the same time). Sure, you have to create tritium in the reactor, but that is still better than switching the fuel.
DD is a possible option if higher temperatures can be achieved, and PP is several orders of magnitude worse.
 
  • #29
rogerk8 said:
Could anyone explain why ordinary Hydrogen fusion is out of the question?
Because the power output of a single cubic meter of solar core material (i.e. ordinary hydrogen, proton-proton fusion) is roughly on par with a toaster oven, some tens or hundreds of Watts - lousy as terrestrial power plant. When the sun's rate of energy release was first calcuated, coal combustion was considered as a possible source because the rate of energy release for mass of coal that size was about right. Such is slow nature of proton-proton fusion. The difference is that the coal would be consummed via combustion in ~10,000 years, the hydrogen via fusion in 5 billion or so.

So yes terrestrial needs DT fusion or close to it.
 
  • #30
mfb said:
The higher temperatures are needed to counter the lower pressure in the reactor, with a higher required power density. The sun has an enormous pressure we cannot even dream to recreate in tokamaks, and at the same time the power density is something like 40W/m3 - way too low for a reactor.
DT is the easiest fuel. All other fuels need even higher temperatures or give way lower reaction rates (usually both at the same time). Sure, you have to create tritium in the reactor, but that is still better than switching the fuel.
DD is a possible option if higher temperatures can be achieved, and PP is several orders of magnitude worse.

Thank you for your reply. Very interesting!

The pressure being

p=nkT

meaning the volume density, n, of the particles times kT, right?

Interprating this formula and my conclusion from what you have said, the volume density cannot be made high enough so temperature will have to be increased to yield the same pressure as in the sun, right?

Roger
 
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  • #31
Pressure is limited by the magnetic fields - a higher temperature does not allow to increase pressure, so the volume density will go down. As the interaction probability rises quickly with temperature, this still leads to a higher fusion rate (up to roughly 1 billion K for DT).
 
  • #32
Interesting graph!

Let's kind of begin from the beginning. Consider the sun. Protons have somehow bundled up out of nowhere. These ions bundle up more and more until gravity(?) makes them bundle up so tight (in spite of their equal and repelling charge) that fusion to Helium starts and an enormous amount of energy is released. In the same time volume density and thus pressure is kept tight due to gravity and protons being abundant.

How far from the truth am I?

How important is the magnetic fields created by the moving ions (currents) for confining the fusion reactions to the core of the sun?

To me it feels like these currents might not necessarily contribute in a collective manner. The generated magnetic fields might as well be stocastic in direction and thus not be a true inspiration for a Tokamak.

Roger
 
  • #33
The sun, including the core, is electrically neutral. Both ions and electrons exist under very height pressures at the core.

I don't know for certain but I don't believe that magnetic fields play much, if any, role in fusion in the Sun's core.
 
  • #34
Magnetic fields are not relevant for fusion in the sun.
Pressure due to gravity is dominant. As a really simplified model, you can use Earth as comparison - the lower you are, the higher the pressure.

The magnetic confinement in a tokamak is completely different from the gravitational "confinement" in the sun.
 
  • #35
Thank you for your educational information!

But I'm a stupid guy. When it comes to the birth of a star like our sun I do not understand how gravity can play such an important role.

Protons are positively charged, right?

And equal charge repell, right?

Still protons have obviously bundled up.

Why or more scientifically, how?

It is not enough that protons bundle up, they bundle up so tightly that they start to fuse into Helium.

I don't get this part.

Roger
 
  • #36
rogerk8 said:
Thank you for your educational information!

But I'm a stupid guy. When it comes to the birth of a star like our sun I do not understand how gravity can play such an important role.

Protons are positively charged, right?

And equal charge repell, right?

Still protons have obviously bundled up.

Why or more scientifically, how?

It is not enough that protons bundle up, they bundle up so tightly that they start to fuse into Helium.

I don't get this part.

Roger

The pressure at the center of the sun is about 250 billion kg / cm ^2, and this is all due to gravity. Does this help?

Also, why are planets round? One definition of a planet versus and asteroid is a body large enough the gravity overwhelms all possible sources of mechanical rigidity, making the body round. A moon mass collection of diamond crystals will 'collapse' into round mass carbon, overcoming the rigid resistance of diamond. Now, how many times more massive is the sun than the moon?
 
  • #37
Also remember that the Sun has electrons and is not charged overall. The atoms in the gas cloud that initially collapsed to form the Sun didn't repel each other because they were not ionized.
 
  • #38
I know so little and understands so little so maybe I should quit now? :smile:

Anyway here is how I see it:

F_G=G\frac{m_1m_2}{r^2}[N]

F_Q=\frac{1}{4\pi\epsilon_0}\frac{q_1q_2}{r^2}[N]

where for protons

m_p=1,67e^{-27}[kg]
G=6,67e^{-11}[Nm^2/kg^2]
q=+e=1,6e^{-19}[As]
\epsilon_0=8,85e^{-12}[As/Vm]

which gives

\frac{F_Q}{F_G}=10^{36}

This clearly states that, in the beginning, protons could not have bundled up due to gravity while the electromagnetic force is way much higher (to say the least).

So what happened? I see two scenarious:

1) The first particles to bundle up was neutrons and when they bundled up tight enough they somehow mutated into protons which after a while where able to fuse into He_2.

2) Reading your kind answer makes me think that perhaps the first neutral (which is a must here) particles where neutral protons i.e pure H_1 which later fuses into He_2.

Now I will try to answer your question "How many times more massive is the sun than the moon": I have no clue :smile: To me the sun is of course massive but it is also gasous like a plasma, right? So, stupid as I am, I would actually consider the moon to be more massive than the sun because it is made of dirt, so to speak. Please, educate me some more here if I'm wrong. :smile:

Roger
PS
I kind of know how to write isotopes but I fail using <sup>.
 
  • #39
rogerk8 said:
I know so little and understands so little so maybe I should quit now? :smile:

Anyway here is how I see it:

F_G=G\frac{m_1m_2}{r^2}[N]

F_Q=\frac{1}{4\pi\epsilon_0}\frac{q_1q_2}{r^2}[N]

where for protons

m_p=1,67e^{-27}[kg]
G=6,67e^{-11}[Nm^2/kg^2]
q=+e=1,6e^{-19}[As]
\epsilon_0=8,85e^{-12}[As/Vm]

which gives

\frac{F_Q}{F_G}=10^{36}

This clearly states that, in the beginning, protons could not have bundled up due to gravity while the electromagnetic force is way much higher (to say the least).
So far, so good, in the Newtonian sense. However, as Drakkith noted, the sun is electrically neutral, and started from Hydrogen atoms (and other stuff). By the time you need to worry about proton repulsion, you already have the 250 billion kg/cm^2 pressure of neutral matter above to overcome it.

Now, for the more remarkable GR correction to the Newtonian picture (though this is not relevant to the formation of stars). Suppose you put one proton in a cubic meter of vacuum, building this pattern out. According to GR, there would come a point, as you built this outwards, where this framework was within its Schwarzschild radius, despite the ultra-low density. Then, no matter what, the assemblage would collapse to a singularity, no matter what forces applied to the protons. The progress toward the singularity would be exactly mathematically and physically equivalent to the progress of time, so even forces approaching infinite would not be able to stop the collapse. Thus, per GR, enough stuff, however sparse, must collapse - if you have enough of it.
rogerk8 said:
So what happened? I see two scenarious:

1) The first particles to bundle up was neutrons and when they bundled up tight enough they somehow mutated into protons which after a while where able to fuse into He_2.
No, much simpler, it started as Hydrogen atoms.
rogerk8 said:
2) Reading your kind answer makes me think that perhaps the first neutral (which is a must here) particles where neutral protons i.e pure H_1 which later fuses into He_2.
Correct in that the starting point is Hydrogen gas. However, the fusion reaction is not to Helium 2, which would not release energy. It is to Deuterium when the proton-proton interaction is accompanied by emission of a positron and a neutrino. This process releases energy but is very rare. The further steps from here to Helium 4 occur and much higher rates and release much more energy.
rogerk8 said:
Now I will try to answer your question "How many times more massive is the sun than the moon": I have no clue :smile: To me the sun is of course massive but it is also gasous like a plasma, right? So, stupid as I am, I would actually consider the moon to be more massive than the sun because it is made of dirt, so to speak. Please, educate me some more here if I'm wrong. :smile:

Roger
PS
I kind of know how to write isotopes but I fail using <sup>.

The core of the sun has a density of about 150 grams/cm^3, well over 10 times the density of the Earth's core. This is because of the enormous pressure of the overlying layers squeezing an ionized plasma to a density beyond any material we know on earth.
 
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  • #40
PAllen said:
The core of the sun has a density of about 150 grams/cm^3, well over 10 times the density of the Earth's core. This is because of the enormous pressure of the overlying layers squeezing an ionized plasma to a density beyond any material we know on earth.

There is also the fact that the volume of the sun is over 60 million times larger than the moon.
 
  • #41
And the fact that Earth plus moon orbit the sun, not the other way round.

WolframAlpha: (mass of sun)/(mass of moon)

Even today, the core of the sun is neutral - the hydrogen is ionized and we have a plasma, but the negative electrons are still hanging around there together with the positive protons and helium nuclei.
 
  • #42
Another fun calculation is:

F_G=F_Q

or

GMm_p=\frac{e^2}{4\pi\epsilon_0}

which gives

M=2 [Gkg]

which of couse is the same as the mass for

N_{mp}=10^{36}

number of protons.

However, this states that the mass of the rising sun has to exceed 2GKg before any protons may be attracted.

This still makes me believe that the sun began as a bundling up of neutrons which later on gave rise to such a high mass (>2Gkg) and therefore gravitational force that it could attract protons. Now when it did that, the rising sun got charged and due to the sign of charge of electrons they came along too.

As you may have noticed I am considering the simplest form of particle soup here which means that we already have a post Big Bang soup of convenient elementary particles. All of them in a plasma state.

So in the core we now have a plasma of both neutrons, protons and electrons.

But why did protons start to fuse?

I don't understand the concept of pressure for instance.

Repeating the formula here for convenience:

p=nkT[J/m^3=N/m^2]

Loooking at this formula you can see how increased particle density give rise to an increased pressure.

But what about T?

What determines T?

I don't get it.

Finally, gravitational force is of course higher the closer you get to the centre of gravity.

But what makes the pressure and/or gravitational force start the reaction to fuse?

What happens here with the elementary soup of star-life?

Roger
 
  • #43
Are you even reading other people's posts? I think about 5 times it has been explained the sun began with neutral hydrogen gas. The, as it collpased and heated (you can think of this simply as conversion of gravitational potential energy to heat), the center became ionized, but still neutral on average. You than have a neutral plasma at high temperature and pressure (= high density), such that the rare p + p -> deuterium + neutrino + positron can occur (at a low rate per volume).
 
  • #44
I am of course reading other people's posts. But when people come with explanations like the GR I am totally lost and it's no use to even debate. Furthermore, I am trying to understand this my own way if this is alright by you?

Ok, let's say the sun began as a neutral Hydrogen gas. I can easily buy that.

Please explain how gravitational potential energy can be converted to heat. I don't even know what gravitational potential energy is (other than mgh).

And please explain p+p->deuterium (H_2) + neutrino + positron because I find this very interesting mainly due to the fantastic mutation of a proton becoming a neutron (i.e deuterium).

Finally, I thank you for your answer.

Roger
 
  • #45
rogerk8 said:
I am of course reading other people's posts. But when people come with explanations like the GR I am totally lost and it's no use to even debate. Furthermore, I am trying to understand this my own way if this is alright by you?

Ok, let's say the sun began as a neutral Hydrogen gas. I can easily buy that.

Please explain how gravitational potential energy can be converted to heat. I don't even know what gravitational potential energy is (other than mgh).
mgh is good enough for the basic idea. You have a large mass of hydrogen in a cube .1 light years on a side. Under the influence of self gravitation, it collapses to a diameter of 1 million miles (appx). That means the average h in mgh, for given volume of hydrogen is about 100 billion miles. The g is varying during the collapse, but it should be easy to imagine that you have an enormous amount of energy per unit compressed volume of hydrogen.
rogerk8 said:
And please explain p+p->deuterium (H_2) + neutrino + positron because I find this very interesting mainly due to the fantastic mutation of a proton becoming a neutron (i.e deuterium).
Normally, a neutron decays via weak interaction (in about 10 minutes if outside of a nucleus) into proton, an electron, and an anti-neutrino. Since a proton is slightly lighter than a neutron, it does not decay (by any standard model processes). However, a proton plus energy, can, with low probability, undergo the 'decay' p -> neutron + neutrino + positron, mediated by the same weak interaction. In the core of the sun, where the high temperature give each proton plenty of KE, and the high density makes collisions likely, once in a blue moon this reaction occurs along with with a collision. When it does, the formation of deuterium releases net energy (not much, but enough to keep things going).
rogerk8 said:
Finally, I thank you for your answer.

Roger
 
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  • #46
I sincerelly want to thank you for putting so much time and effort into trying to explain these things to me. I feel honored!

I did not understand much though :biggrin:

So I will have to think about this before I can get back to you with adequate questions.

Take care!

Roger
 
  • #47
rogerk8 said:
This still makes me believe that the sun began as a bundling up of neutrons which later on gave rise to such a high mass (>2Gkg) and therefore gravitational force that it could attract protons. Now when it did that, the rising sun got charged and due to the sign of charge of electrons they came along too.
"I don't understand the right explanation so I invent something different" is not a useful way to learn.
 
  • #48
What is wrong with "free thinking" and trying to understand things your own way?
 
  • #49
rogerk8 said:
I know so little and understands so little so maybe I should quit now?
You should quit speculating and instead try to understand what people have posted.

Anyway here is how I see it: ...
This clearly states that, in the beginning, protons could not have bundled up due to gravity while the electromagnetic force is way much higher (to say the least).
That is precisely the kind of speculating you need to stop doing.

You are ignoring pressure, density, and temperature, and you are also ignoring the fact that the Sun is electrically neutral. The gravitational attraction between two protons is not responsible for fusion. Gravity is far too weak a force to overcome electrical repulsion between two protons. Gravitation is nonetheless absolutely essential. While the gravitational force between two protons is exceedingly small, the mutual gravitational interaction amongst the ~1057 protons and neutrons in the Sun is extremely large. This is what is responsible for the extremely high pressure at the center of the Sun. The pressure at some point inside the Sun is equal to the weight of all the stuff above that point.

At the center of the Sun, this makes for a pressure of about 250 billion atmospheres, a temperature of about 15 million Kelvin, and a density of about 150 grams/cm3. That density is immense. Even though the Sun's core is a plasma (and hence a gas), it's is about eight times that of solid uranium at the Earth's surface. It is the temperature and density that are ultimately responsible for fusion. The high temperature makes for particles with very high velocities. The high density means *lots* of collisions between those fast moving particles.
 
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  • #50
150 grams/cm3 is really impressive as density goes, especially where hydrogen is concerned. That's 150 moles of H/cc, which is ~9 E25 protons/cc, as compared to 1 gm/cc (density of water), or density of air/gas at sea level, or density of a plasma in magnetic confinement, which is on the order of 1e14 H/cc. So the density in the sun's core is about 1e11 to 1e12 times of what we can accomplish in terrestrial systems.
 
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