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billschnieder said:I don't understand how you could calculate a probability that any local deterministic theory will violate Bell inequalities, without clearly defining the space of "local deterministic theories". For a given theory (and Gill gives one), yes I can imagine one easily checking the probability that it will violate the inequalities but how do you do that for "any local deterministic theory". It seems to me our interest is in the latter probability not the former one.
billschnieder said:What assumptions do we have to apply to this in order to end up with 2 on the RHS? I can think of one. We could say ##A_1 = A_2, A'_3 = A'_4, B'_2 = B'_4, B_1 = B_3##, which translating from the numbers to spreadsheets of numbers, it means the corresponding columns are identical, not just that the have the same ratios of {+1, -1} but that the pattern of changing back and forth is identical, or can be made identical by rearranging. This is a condition that will allow us to factorize the terms from 4 disjoint sets. For that to be the case, the source will have to know what set each pair will end up in, or the distributions will have to so uniform at all angle settings that a single set will not be able to reproduce the experimentally observed expectation value for one angle pair.
That seems notionally right, and basically corresponds to the condition that everything is independent and identically distributed, and that the measurement settings and the hidden variables are independent. Gill does discuss the possibility of weaker conditions, but this is the typical assumption. See also wle's post #197 and the paper he linked to, where apparently a bound is derived in which the i.i.d. assumption is only needed on the measurement settings, but not the N samples on which the measurements are made.
Edit: In fact, the Pironio paper http://arxiv.org/abs/0911.3427 that wle linked to cites an earlier paper by Gill http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0301059 for a bound in which the i.i.d. assumption on the N samples is removed. Interestingly, Gill does comment that the 30 standard deviations given in Weihs et al is under the assumption of i.i.d and that probabilities were equal to observed frequencies, and that the bound under weaker conditions cannot be as strong.
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