Binomial Probability problem.

TheHamburgler1
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Homework Statement


10% of engines manufactured on an assembly line are defective. If engines are randomly selected one at a time and tested, what is the probability that the first defective engine will be found between the 5th trial and the 25th trial, inclusive?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


I believe this is just a binomial distribution with Bin(n,1) where n varies between 5 and 25.

\sum(nC1)(0.1)(.9)^(n-1)

This is way off because I am getting 6.47...

thanks ahead of time.
 
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Hi TheHamburgler1! :smile:

No, it's just P(first is defective is the 5th) + … + P(first is defective is the 25th) :wink:
 
tiny-tim said:
Hi TheHamburgler1! :smile:

No, it's just P(first is defective is the 5th) + … + P(first is defective is the 25th) :wink:

Would we not express each of those via Bin(n,.1) where x=1? If not, how would we express one of them?

Thanks
 
Actually, this could be a Geometric distribution problem right? In that case we would sum x from 5 to 25 of (.1)(.9)^(x-1). This gives 0.5843102
 
(just got up :zzz: …)
TheHamburgler1 said:
Actually, this could be a Geometric distribution problem right? In that case we would sum x from 5 to 25 of (.1)(.9)^(x-1).

Yup! :biggrin:

(and I assume you've used algebra to calculate that, and not 20 additions? :wink:)
 
There are two things I don't understand about this problem. First, when finding the nth root of a number, there should in theory be n solutions. However, the formula produces n+1 roots. Here is how. The first root is simply ##\left(r\right)^{\left(\frac{1}{n}\right)}##. Then you multiply this first root by n additional expressions given by the formula, as you go through k=0,1,...n-1. So you end up with n+1 roots, which cannot be correct. Let me illustrate what I mean. For this...

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