Card Hand probabilities: Discrete Math

In summary: AND at least 2 acesIn summary, the probability of drawing at least two aces in a 5-card hand from a 52 card deck is equal to the sum of the probabilities of drawing exactly 2, 3, or 4 aces in the hand. The probability of drawing at least 2 aces is equal to the sum of the probabilities of drawing a hand with exactly 2 aces, 3 aces, or 4 aces. Additionally, the probability of having at least two aces in a hand is equal to the sum of the probabilities of having exactly 2, 3, or 4 aces in the hand.
  • #1
SammC
17
0

Homework Statement


In the following you are given a 5-card hand from a 52 card deck.
a) given that you have at least one ace, what is the probability you have at least 2 aces?
b) given that you have the ace of diamonds, what is the probability that you have another ace?
c) given that you have a red ace, what is the probability you have another ace?
d) Suppose you select a card from your hand at random and it is an ace. What is the probability you have another ace.


Homework Equations


pr(not a) = 1 - pr(a)
pr(A given B) = Pr(A and B) / Pr(B)


The Attempt at a Solution



C(X,Y) is X choose Y here.

Pr(A): The chance of drawing AT LEAST one Ace is 1 - C(48,5)/C(52,5) =~ .6588

Pr(B): The probability of having at least 2 aces: ?
Pr(A and B): ?

pr(C): That you have the ace of diamonds in a 5 card hand is 1-C(51,5)/C(52,5) =~ .096
Pr(C and B):?

pr(D): That you have at least one red ace in a 5 card hand: 1-C(50,5)/C(52,5) =~ .1848
(im not sure if i want the probability of having exactly 1 red ace, or at least one)
Pr(D and B):?


Finding all of the "?" probabilities should allow me to calculate problems a-c, but i really don't know how to find PR(X AND Y) with these problems, nor do I know how to get the probability of having at least two aces.
 
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  • #2
Probability of having at least two aces...
Hmmm...
You can calculate the probability of having exactly 4 aces + exactly 3 aces + exactly 2 aces.

Pr(4) = C(4,4)C(48,1)/C(52,5)
Pr(3) = C(4,3)C(48,2)/C(52,5)
Pr(2) = C(4,2)C(48,3)/C(52,5)
Add 'em up.
 
  • #3
Thanks, that makes sense.

How do you go about getting the probability of the union though?
 
  • #4
Since you are enumerating distinct hands (no hand with exactly 2 aces is a hand with exactly one ace) you can simply add the probabilities.
Pr(x>1)= Pr(x=2) + Pr(x=3) + Pr(x=4).
 
  • #5
what about pr(1 ace red AND at least 2 aces) one is not necessarily in the other in this case, same with 1 ace diamond
 

1. What is the probability of getting a royal flush in a 5-card hand?

The probability of getting a royal flush in a 5-card hand is approximately 0.000154%. This is calculated by dividing the number of possible royal flush hands (4) by the total number of 5-card hands (2,598,960).

2. How do you calculate the probability of getting a specific hand in a 52-card deck?

The probability of getting a specific hand in a 52-card deck can be calculated by dividing the number of possible hands that make up that specific hand by the total number of 5-card hands (2,598,960). For example, the probability of getting a straight flush is approximately 0.00139% as there are 40 possible straight flush hands in a 52-card deck.

3. What is the probability of getting a full house in a 5-card hand?

The probability of getting a full house in a 5-card hand is approximately 0.00144%. This is calculated by dividing the number of possible full house hands (3,744) by the total number of 5-card hands (2,598,960).

4. How does the number of players affect the probability of getting a certain hand?

The number of players can affect the probability of getting a certain hand as it can increase or decrease the likelihood of another player having the same or better hand. For example, the probability of getting a royal flush in a 5-card hand decreases as the number of players increases, as there are more chances for someone else to have a royal flush.

5. Is it possible to calculate the exact probability of getting a certain hand?

It is possible to calculate the exact probability of getting a certain hand, but it can be a complex calculation depending on the hand and the number of players involved. It typically involves using combinations and permutations to determine the number of possible hands and then dividing that by the total number of hands. With the use of technology, these calculations can be done much quicker and more accurately.

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