Finding the Probability of Flipping 500 Heads and Tails

AI Thread Summary
The discussion focuses on calculating the probability of flipping exactly 500 heads and 500 tails when flipping 1000 coins. The correct formula involves the binomial distribution, expressed as (1000 choose 500) multiplied by (0.5)^1000. Participants confirm that using Stirling's approximation simplifies the factorial calculations for large N. Additionally, it is noted that the expression simplifies to 1/2^1000. The conversation emphasizes the validity of both the binomial method and Stirling's approximation for this probability calculation.
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Homework Statement



Suppose you flip 1000 coins, what is the probability of flipping exactly 500 heads and 500 tails. (Hint: First write down the formula for the total number of possible outcomes. Then, to determine the "multiplicity" of the 500-500 macro state, use stirlings approximation.



Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



I have done a couple of these problems (successfully) with the binomial distribution method so am I wrong in stating the following equality? Or is this correct and I should just use the stirlings method to make N!~ NlnN - N at large N and then use this to simplify the probability I wrote? Thanks!

probability = (1000 choose 500)((.5)^500)*((.5)^500)
 
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It is correct. Stirling's formula will allow you to calculate that, yes.
And WolframAlpha can do it as well.
 
bmb2009 said:

Homework Statement



Suppose you flip 1000 coins, what is the probability of flipping exactly 500 heads and 500 tails. (Hint: First write down the formula for the total number of possible outcomes. Then, to determine the "multiplicity" of the 500-500 macro state, use stirlings approximation.



Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



I have done a couple of these problems (successfully) with the binomial distribution method so am I wrong in stating the following equality? Or is this correct and I should just use the stirlings method to make N!~ NlnN - N at large N and then use this to simplify the probability I wrote? Thanks!

probability = (1000 choose 500)((.5)^500)*((.5)^500)

Yes, that is correct. Notice also that ##.5^{500} \times .5^{500} = .5^{1000} = 1/2^{1000}##.
 
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