.Scott said:
A gravitational wave entering the photon sphere will not be radiating outwards.
Depends on where it's coming from. If it's coming from a black hole merger, it will be moving outwards at the photon sphere of the newly merged hole.
If it's coming at the photon sphere from outside, then yes, it will be moving at best tangentially so it will end up falling into the hole.
Note that in all of this we have been implicitly assuming that the wavelength of the gravitational wave is much smaller than the size of the hole (roughly its horizon radius). For waves of comparable wavelength to the hole's size, things get much more complicated.
.Scott said:
what about the gravitational lensing? It would seem that a BH should be able to concentrate a portion of a gravitational wave into a smaller region.
Waves that get gravitationally lensed by the hole will be focused on a point way beyond the hole (roughly the same distance from the hole as the wave source, but on the other side). They won't be focused on the hole itself, any more than an ordinary lens focuses light coming into it on itself.
.Scott said:
if I was orbiting just inside the photon sphere
There are no free-fall orbits inside the photon sphere.
.Scott said:
a "full escape" from the photon sphere is not possible. There is always something sacrificed.
In the sense that you need rocket power to keep from falling into the hole inside the photon sphere (because there are no free-fall orbits there), and the reaction mass ejected by a rocket that is escaping will not itself escape, yes, this seems intuitively plausible, but I have not done the math to check it.
.Scott said:
That suggests to me that information isn't abruptly lost as you cross the event horizon. Instead, there is a continuous loss of information as an object travels from the photon sphere to the event horizon.
The information loss problem has nothing to do with anything we've discussed; it's a quantum problem, not a classical problem, and everything we've discussed in this thread is classical.
As far as the quantum information loss problem is concerned, nobody even knows for sure how or where the quantum information in question is stored since we don't have a theory of quantum gravity. So there is no way to even check your statement at the quantum level. (I have not seen anything like your suggestion in the literature I have read, but there is a lot that I have not read.)