How Probable is the Most Probable Distribution in Statistical Mechanics?

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The discussion centers on the derivation of the most probable distribution in statistical mechanics (SM) and its implications for understanding other less probable distributions. It is established that the probability of a distribution is proportional to the number of ways it can be realized, with the most probable distribution overwhelmingly dominating in large ensembles. The binomial distribution serves as a foundational concept, particularly when analyzing systems with multiple energy levels, such as a 3-level system with energies 0, E, and 2E. The use of Stirling's formula and Taylor expansion is highlighted as a method to demonstrate that, as the number of systems increases, the most probable distribution becomes the only significant one.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of statistical mechanics principles
  • Familiarity with probability distributions, particularly the binomial distribution
  • Knowledge of Stirling's formula and its applications
  • Basic concepts of energy states in physical systems
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Gayle
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in stat mechanics we derive most probable distribution .but this does not say any thing about existence of other less probable distributions. is there a way to find out how probable is the most probable
 
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I come to question about these things a lot and I totally agree with what you say and there is a way to find the most propable propability, even though we aren't aware of where stuff is and we don't know their state for sure, we don't know that no matter what they wouldn't (and shouldn't) smash a bunch of laws of physics and the distribution that applies this MIGHT bd the best propability distribution, but for the best not so sure because we cannot know pricesly the state and properly describe the microstates of each little particle (example) this is an artefact of our ignorance !
 
The distribution is derived from the laws of physics. To get a different distribution you need to get a different set of physics laws.
 
Gayle said:
in stat mechanics we derive most probable distribution .but this does not say any thing about existence of other less probable distributions. is there a way to find out how probable is the most probable
It is a probability question. The probability is proportional to number of ways distribution can be realized.
 
Most introductory SM books state without much back-up that the most probable distribution of energy states in a large ensemble of systems is so overwhelmingly the most probable that we can forget about the others. More precisely, they say that for a very large number of systems the logarithm of the number of ways of achieving the most probable distribution is the same as the logarithm of the sum of the numbers of ways of achieving every distribution!

Usually they refer to the binomial distribution for back-up, without properly explaining why the binomial distribution is related to the matter in hand.

I've found the following elementary example useful for clarifying what's going on…

Take an ensemble of N 3-level systems. Let the levels be non-degenerate with energies 0, E, 2E. Let the total ensemble energy be \frac{4}{7}NE. Suppose n1 systems are on the lowest level, n2 systems are on the middle level, n3 systems are on the top level. It's easy to express n1 and n2 in terms of n3 (and the constant, N). So there's only one free variable, n3.
For this simple system it's possible to show by quite elementary means (using Stirling's formula and second order Taylor expansion) that, as N approaches infinity, the most probable distribution is the only one that carries any weight.

There's nothing special about the choice of \frac{4}{7}NE for the total ensemble energy; it just makes the arithmetic slightly neater then many other choices. For example, in the most probable distribution n2 turns out be half n1 and twice n3.
 
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Gayle. It would be nice to know if any of the responses to your question were of any use. If any were impossible to understand, or didn't go far enough towards answering your question, you can ask for clarification.
 
In sci-fi when an author is talking about space travellers or describing the movement of galaxies they will say something like “movement in space only means anything in relation to another object”. Examples of this would be, a space ship moving away from earth at 100 km/s, or 2 galaxies moving towards each other at one light year per century. I think it would make it easier to describe movement in space if we had three axis that we all agree on and we used 0 km/s relative to the speed of...

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