How to predict the length of a rec-/depression?

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To estimate the length of a recession, one must consider the average losses incurred by companies due to halted inflation. Recovery time for these losses can serve as a basis for predicting the recession's duration. While mathematical techniques can aid in predictions, the key factor lies in the assumptions made about economic conditions. Accurate forecasting relies heavily on understanding these underlying assumptions rather than just mathematical calculations. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of economic indicators is essential for making informed predictions about recession length.
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Homework Statement


I wish to know how I can estimate how long a recession will last, assuming that conditions stay the same.



The Attempt at a Solution



Given the amount of money the average company has now lost thanks to a stopped inflation, denoted by mi, we can estimate how long until the companies have recovered their losses. From there, we can estimate the length of the recession.
 
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This question has nothing to do with mathematics. While there are some simple math techniques for making predictions once you have your economic assumptions in place, the crucial part of such predictions are the "assumptions".
 

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