Speed said:
What I am trying to ask is how evolution produces large changes in a population, where the individuals would be mostly similar to each other.
The accumulation of lots of "micro" changes (not necessarily something new, but also via modification of an existing feature).
I know some posters have commented on the implausibility of an "evolutionary goal" - however for the sake of this discussion let us assume that a large, complex organ previously unheard of is required in an evolving organism. How would it get it?
But now we're outside the theory of evolution. Organs are not built for future use. Each "micro" step needs to have a beneficial/neutral quality for current needs.
In closed populations, the only source of new traits is through mutation.
Also through recombination (reshuffled genes through sexual reproduction).
2) Underrepresentation of mutants that do happen to be fitter than 'normals';
Check out "allopatric speciation"...basically the idea that evolutionary changes get a better foothold in an isolated subgroup on the fringe of the main population's range.
3) The exceedingly tiny probability that a string of mutations would lead to a large, constructive result (such as a 2nd pair of eyes or limbs);
4) The intermediate mutants may be more unfit than the end mutants or even the normals.
Again, evolution is for the here and now, not for future planning.
Suppose a 2nd pair of arms would prove disproportionately beneficial to humans. Precursor humans with vestigial growths in say their ribcage to support this would waste biological energy supporting these growths without the benefits of the 2nd pair of arms whatsoever. In other words, these "semi-mutants" would be worse off than even the normals.
A new arm would not be likely evolve that way (piecemeal in a new location). Either the existing arm-creation genes would be doubled via a macromutation or an existing feature would be modified (e.g., legs become arms over time).
It's a common misconception to say that these half-features show that evolution is impossible. But, for example, when animals went from water to land, they did not do it with water-only fins and then wait to evolve. Fish evolved modified fins while still in water (e.g., perhaps as bottom feeders or shallow-water fish) and those types of fish were able to make brief journeys onto land which others could not. Once there, further evolution could occur toward land-limbs. Similarly, birds did not wait in the trees for millions of years until their wings were complete. Instead, their pseudo-wings had some immediate benefit (e.g., balance while running/jumping, or gliding from tree to tree, or for warmth or displays, etc.)
So, the feature starts evolving first for some immediate benefit, then it is used for a slightly different purpose*, then it is modified further for the new situation.
* Consider human hands. Their primary purpose may be for grasping, but they can also be used for swimming, fighting, digging, communicating, building, etc.