Aquamarine said:
I find this discussion more and more uninteresting. You continue to ignore peer-reviewed studies contradicting the theories of Jensen and Rushton.
Wrong. I read the paper you referenced when it was published and have met the author.
While accusing me of ignoring material, you elected to edit out the following:
The Flynn effect comprises elements that you apparently do not wish to take into consideration or which you have not encountered. For example, data showing secular gains is usually the result of improved IQ scores below the mean, not above it. This causes the mean to shift.
Among the curiosities of the Flynn Effect: “When the g loaded test is composed largely of nonscholastic items (matrices, figure analogies), the raw scores show a secular increase; when an equally g loaded test is composed of scholastic items (reading comprehension, math) the raw scores show a secular decrease. Obviously, the sure level of g cannot be changing in opposite directions at the same time. The difference in vehicles must account for the discrepancy. So, the extent to which the level of g per se has been rising (or falling) over the past few decades remains problematic.”
[The _g_ Factor, P. 322]
Please explain your comment in light of this observation.
Why did you "ignore" that material and why did you not offer the explanation that I requested?
In general, I only state that many questions are unresolved. But you make many strong claims regarding these issues, claiming proved answers. As such, it is up to you to provide the evidence in the form of peer-reviewed studies.
The evidence:
Item 1 There is both a positive and a negative effect that can be demonstrated from equally g-loaded test items. This indicates that the Lynn-Flynn effect is an artifact.
Item 2 Inspection time data show no secular gain or loss. IT is strongly related to g. If g were increasing, we should see a decrease in IT. That has not happened. See Nettelbeck and Wilson, Intelligence Volume 32, Issue 1, January-February 2004, Pages 85-93.
Item 3 Rushton has presented a robust argument that there is no g-loading to the changes in IQ scores: Rushton, J. P. (1999) Secular gains in IQ not related to the g factor and inbreeding depression unlike Black-White differences: A reply to Flynn. Personality and Individual Differences, 26: 381-389. I suggest reading this completely and carefully.
Item 4 It is most likely that intelligence is
declining in the US:
New evidence of dysgenic fertility for intelligence in the United States [Richard Lynn, and Marian Van Court, Intelligence Volume 32, Issue 2, March-April 2004, Pages 193-201] Here are a few comments from that paper: The results of the present study confirm and extend the second set of studies in that they show that the association between intelligence and fertility has been consistently negative for all birth cohorts from 1900–1919 up to 1970–1979. ... our results show that there is no tendency for the childless to have low IQs or for those with low IQs to be childless. ... In the present data, the decline of genotypic intelligence for the 1940–1949 birth cohort is calculated at .9 IQ points per generation for the overall population, and .75 IQ points per generation for the White population. Retherford and Sewell calculated a genotypic decline of .81 IQ points from their data set consisting almost entirely of Whites and born around the same time.
Item 5 The best study of the effect, under controlled conditions, showed no g gain:
"The secular rise in IQs: In Estonia, the Flynn effect is not a Jensen effect"
Aasa Must and Vilve Raudik, Intelligence, Volume 31, Issue 5 , September-October 2003, Pages 461-471
Our study found that the secular changes in Estonia over the last 60 years were not on g, the general factor of intelligence. As such, they were not Jensen effects. Flynn, 1999 and Flynn, 2000 has suggested that failures to find secular gains are due to the use of tests of "crystallized" intelligence because secular gains occur mostly in "fluid" intelligence. However, we agree with Jensen (1998, pp. 122–125) that the g factor makes the distinction between fluid and crystallized intelligence largely superfluous.
The Jensen study I referred to was the study you referred to earlier in this thread. I should not have said the Jensen study but the twin study used by Jensen as evidence in your quote.
Yes, you were not familiar with the source, nor the fact that Jensen has not been a twin researcher.
Regarding 1 and 3, do Jensen claim to explain more than only the US variance right now? If so, please provide which peer-reviewed studies he uses as evidence.
Let me repeat what you wrote:
1. The Jensen study you referred to only applies to US variance. Not to US mean, not to variance earlier in US history and not to mean and variance in other countries.
I do not pretend to understand what you have written. Can you explain it? It remains unclear as to which studies have confused you, or why you are concerned over the US population. Both twin and adoption studies have been conducted in the US and various European countries. Jensen has reported most of them in his last book. If you have a point to make, please state it.
Regarding 2, you fail to provide evidence that the gaps will not dwindle in the future.
What kind of evidence do you think would be available today and would prove something in the future with respect to your speculation? I can't imagine why anyone would bother to respond to speculation. There was no point in your comment and it was not related to any study or evidence.
Regarding 4, my statement need no studies, saying only that there may or may not be a relationship. But you seem to claim something stronger than that, that there is no relationship. Which peer-reviewed studies support your position?
Your comment simply showed that you were still confused. I replied: Who has excluded IQ in childhood from what? IQ can be measured in children and it is reasonably predictive of adult IQ. The issue that you apparently do not understand has to do with the variance in IQ due to shared environment. Why don't you take time to disabuse yourself of your misconceptions?
Where does my comment say something about "no relationship?" Relationship of what to what?
Again regarding "macro", a wealthy family/society environment can provide better "micro" factors which will affect intelligence. For example iodine supplementation in rich countries with good health-care. Please provide the peer-reviewed studies claiming otherwise for the world as whole, not only the US.
You remain unable to understand the difference between micro and macro. The macro environment consists of social interactions, not chemical ones. Your iodine mantra is evidence of your inability to admit that you are wrong and that you do not understand the terms. I have suggested that you remedy this by learning. In this case, the starting point is Jensen, A. R. (1998). The g factor: The science of mental ability. Westport, CT: Praeger.
Finally regarding your statement "Evidence (published in peer reviewed journals) from the past few years has shown that the Flynn effect is due entirely to increases in specificity and not g. There is zero gain in g from the Flynn effect.":
Quote:
http://users.fmg.uva.nl/jwicherts/wicherts2004.pdf (my emphasis)
I fail to see anything significant in the material you reported. As I previously mentioned, I read it when it was published. I personally have no confidence in the expertise of Jelte Wicherts. He is a very likable and polite young man, who does not project any air of expertise. I listened to his presentation on December 2 and was underwhelmed. His was the ONLY paper to be addressed directly by another speaker as being inappropriate. In any field of study you can find a few people who are outliers. Some of them may be outliers because they are highly expert and correct, while the rest are wrong. When that is the case, those people are usually able to support their differences soundly. Jelte has not done that.
It is important for anyone who hopes to understand a discipline to be able to weigh and take into account the total body of knowledge. I have presented you with five significant items that independently support what I have written about the Lynn-Flynn effect. When you take the time to understand these five items, I am confident that you will understand the reality of what is happening.