mheslep said:
Lovins argument against nuclear doesn't start with waste. My summary of his points:
o The free market has spoken on nuclear: NO.
- No where in the world is private capital supporting the construction of a nuclear plant. It is all government supported.
Do any power plants get zero government support?? I doubt it. Subsidized or not, it is possible to calculate the true cost of the energy. Has he?
-In the '90s global nuke capacity rose 1% compared to 17% solar PV, 24% wind.
Yes, and? Nuclear power has been running against a parachute because of irrational paranoia. But that is changing. Mostly because of...economics. Btw, those growth rates are insignificant compared to the growth in coal and gas turbine generation.
-Renewables and demand side savings will continue to get cheaper w/ better tech, nuclear not so much.
Not true. Unfortunatly, the hippies have caused the US to lose two full generations of nuclear power advancements, but there is new technology out there just waiting to be implimented. The same is not true with pv and wind. Sure, we can expect some reduction in cost for pv and wind - but how much? It needs
a lot to become competitive.
o Nuclear proliferation risk. Commercial nuke power provides a convenient camouflage for making bombs ala India and Pakistan.
Irrelevant. The US already has nuclear weapons. We don't need to camoflage our nuclear activities.
Much of the same expertise for making a bomb (at least the fuel cycle) is required for power so nuke power spreads the expertise and material. In sum, if there was no nuke power industry there'd be no Iran or N. Korea problem.
If the Chinese hadn't invented gunpowder, there'd be no guns. You can't suppress science, so you shouldn't try. Instead, you should try to harness it for good.
These are the same old lies and repeating them over and over doesn't make them true.
A little while ago I would have disagreed, but now it appears Wind/Solar/Biofuels are becoming increasingly competitive.
And they can get a whole lot more "increasingly competitive" without even approaching actually being competitive.
I was surprised to see no private nuclear underway even outside the US, in say France?
France is already just about 100% nuclear and their demand isn't growing very fast. No need to build more plants.
Even IF we could rid ourselves of the irrationality around nuclear, how much would it cost?
Here are some numbers: http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/398986/putting_a_price_on_nuclear_power/index.html?source=r_science
Of particular note is this sentence:
...the Shearon Harris plant came in at nearly $3 billion over budget, in part because of delays that put it a decade behind schedule.
Point being: the cost overruns are
artificial. It should come as no surprise that it doesn't actually take 20 years to build a nuclear power plant, it only takes 5. The rest of the time is spent wading through red tape and hippie legal challenges. There is no magic, no technology to be invented, no
reason for nuclear to be as expensive as it is (and it is still competitive, even with a weight around its ankle). The cost of nuclear power can
easily be cut in half simply by deciding to do it.
And I generally agreed w/ the proliferation problem: I don't see anyway to safely separate nuclear weapons tech from nuclear power.
Could you explain why we need to?