Japan Earthquake: Nuclear Plants at Fukushima Daiichi

[MiceAndMen]

Hope that these are just the specs for the product, because they need at least two of each of those every day just to hold the injected water at the current rate.

It seems to say they are going to be moving 6 x 120m³ and 4 x 100m³ tanks every day for several weeks. Better late than never.

 

[etudiant]

Hummm, 100 000 tons underground storage installed in August? Do you have a idea of how big this is? How can they dig a hole that big and install a tank that big in so little time? That's putting below the ground a tanker, not exactly an easy task! And where?

I don't understand this statement.

My bad.
The underground tank is for high level wastes and is only 10,000 tons, according to Yomiuri here
http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T110603005358.htm

I do not know where the large 140,000 ton tank will go.

 

[jim hardy]

""I would like to see the math on how Cs is created in a fuel rod. Exactly how long does it take for a fresh fuel rod to produce a gram of the stuff. ""

i'm a beginner at this but here's what i do

really you don't need more than high school chemistry and physics and an introduction to chart of nuclides.

Here's brief into for beginners like me:

get this page open in browser (i use firefox)
http://www.nndc.bnl.gov/chart/reZoom.jsp?newZoom=7
you should see a white box with diagonal multicolored stripe, pink below and blue above center.
If it's not pink and blue click in top line the box "Decay Mode".

What you see is a graph of all known nuclides, sort of an expanded periodic table of the elements but showing all isotopes. It is a mosaic of teeny squares, one for every known nuclide. Hydrogen is lower left corner, up and right is progressively heavier atoms.

Vertical axis is atomic number (which is number of protons), horizontal axis is number of neutrons.
So any row represents all the isotopes of one element.
Black stripe along center is stable nuclei, all others are decaying toward that line with various half-lives.

near upper right corner click on box "235U FY" which stands for U235 fission yield
the colors change to mostly red and yellow and clump toward center

The color of any little square tells the likelihood that a U235 atom will split into that square.
Note deepest red is in two areas, U235 tends to split into smaller atoms in those areas.

On right side about midway up is a little box labelled "Nucleus". Type in there 137Cs and click GO.

Now click, above Nucleus box, zoom = 1.
Note center square says Cs137 and is red.
The number at bottom is probability of getting that nucleus from a fission. 6E-4 means out every 10,000 fissions you'll get 6 of it.

Now click in top row "Decay Mode" and colors turn mostly purple .
Purple means, from legend at right, the isotope decays by emission of a beta ray which is an electron from the nucleus.
Shedding that electron caused one neutron to change into a proton, which moved it one square up and one square left. Try it - one more proton, one less neutron means one up and one to left. Cs137 decays into Ba137 with halflife 30.08 years.

But notice that Xe137 decays into Cs137 with 8 minute halflife. So all the Xe137 will soon enough be Cs137.
And I-137 decays into 137Xe with 24.5 sec halflife, from there to Cs... And so on.
You get Cs137 by two paths - direct fission yield and decay of other fission fragments.

Now click 235UFY again, notice Xe137 is a more likely fission product than Cs137 its yield is 0.0319. So out of the same 10,000 fissions you'd expect 6 Cs137's, 319Xe137's, and 262 I-137's. etc etc.
So as you said it's chaotic...


You might estimate how long to make a gram from production rate
To get production rate you have to figure out fission rate, number of fissions per second to make full core power. I think it's around 200 MEV/fission and Google will give MEV/sec to Watts ...
Fissions/sec X fission yield equals production rate.
add up production rates of Cs, I , Xe, Te and Sb 137 they'll all be Cs soon enough..

have fun!

 

[jim hardy]

"""One thing that I cannot get my mind around is when you say "Te, I, and Xe are born by fission." Would that be U235 or P239?""

Both. in chart above, click 239Pu FY..

have fun!

 

[robinson]

So, is the cesium a metal or an oxide?

 

[Astronuc]

That explanation makes me think there is a complex stew of isotopes unwinding towards the zone of stability, decaying at various halflives, and converting mass to energy in the process. One thing that I cannot get my mind around is when you say "Te, I, and Xe are born by fission." Would that be U235 or P239?

The following figures show the yields of several radionuclides for fission of U-235 and Pu-239.

Fission yields of Te isotopes:

Isotope  U235    Pu239
Te-131  0.00233 0.0087
Te-132  0.0153  0.0225
Te-133  0.0299  0.0289
Te-134  0.0622  0.044
Te-135  0.0322  0.022
Te-136  0.0132  0.005
Te-137  0.0039  0.0013

In fission of Pu-239, the yield of heavier elements shifts toward I and Xe isotopes, particularly Xe-136, Xe-137 and Xe-138. Te-134 and I-135 have nearly the same yield for fission of Pu-239

 

[Astronuc]

So, is the cesium a metal or an oxide?

Cs is an alkali metal in the same group as Rb, K, Na.

It forms compounds with halides, e.g., CsI, but also oxides Cs₂O, and more complex compounds with U and O, e.g., Cs₂UO₄ (cesium uranate).

 

[etudiant]

So, is the cesium a metal or an oxide?

pure cesium is an alkaline metal, in the same family as sodium and potassium.
It is very reactive and consequently not found pure in nature, but in the form of minerals and salts.
If refined, it must be kept under oil, because it reacts strongly with water, even from the ambient air, and will get quite hot. Like sodium or potassium, dump some on water and it will float while generating hydrogen from the water with enough heat that the hydrogen will burn spontaneously. The cesium hydroxide formed in this reaction dissolves very well in water, forming a very alkaline solution, very akin to lye, which is of course sodium hydroxide in solution.

 

[jlduh]

Don't know exactly where this video has been taken by packbot (N°1 Unit, but where precisely is not clear), but it's a new one (June 3) and this is showing some boiling water inside the building...

http://ex-skf.blogspot.com/2011/06/fukushima-i-nuke-plant-reactor-1.html

On June 4, TEPCO announced that the US-made robot "Packbot" confirmed and photographed the hot steam gushing through the space around the air duct that goes through the floor in the southeast corner of the 1st floor of the reactor building of the Reactor 1 at Fukushima I Nuclear Power Plant.

[...]

TEPCO thinks the steam comes from the warm (50 degrees Celsius) contaminated water leaking near the Suppression Chamber, and says the company will continue to monitor the situation.

(Steam coming from water 50°C? Doesn't make sense to me...)


Direct link to Tepco site to download video, the title is just this:
"Confirmation of steam situation at a reactor building of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant Unit 1 (ZIP 5.55MB)"
http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_09.zip

For the first time, we see for real a Boiling Water Reactor...

The ex-skf site speaks about 4Sv/h radiation in unit 1, is it based on this article?
http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/science/news/20110604-OYT1T00372.htm?from=main5

EDIT: Oups, NHK just released an article on this matter, it's here:

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_16.html

The operator of the damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant says steam was observed coming out of the floor of the No.1 reactor building, and extremely high radiation was detected in the vicinity.Tokyo Electric Power Company inspected the inside of the No.1 reactor building on Friday with a remote-controlled robot.

TEPCO said it found that steam was rising from a crevice in the floor, and that extremely high radiation of 3,000 to 4,000 millisieverts per hour was measured around the area. The radiation is believed to be the highest detected in the air at the plant.

TEPCO says the steam is likely coming from water at a temperature of 50 degrees Celsius that has accumulated in the basement of the reactor building.

The company sees no major impact from the radiation so far on ongoing work, as it has been detected only within a limited section of the building.

 

[elektrownik]

And this ? This is ne pressure indicator, but it show correct values ?
http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_10.jpg

 

[joewein]

And why did the emergency cooling system of reactor #1 fail much earlier than in units 2 and 3?

According to the AREVA report the design of unit 1 differs from units 2 and 3 with regards to the offline cooling system.

Unlike its siblings units 2 and 3, unit 1 was an older type called BWR3 (the others were of a type called BWR4). One difference between them is that the BWR4 has a Reactor Core Isolation Cooling (RCIC) system. During a loss of all grid and backup power a steam turbine running off decay heat in the core could still pump water from the Suppression Chamber into the reactor core. The BWR3 makes do with an isolation condensor, which relies on electric pumps to cool and condense steam from the reactor using cold outside water. Once the pumps stop, the isolation condenser stops cooling steam. With the RCIC at least liquid water was being injected as long as there was battery power to control valves and the water in the suppression chamber wasn’t boiling yet.

According to the AREVA report, cooling in the isolation condenser in unit 1 stopped at 16:36 on March 11, less than an hour after the backup diesel generators had failed. By contrast, the RCIC pump in unit 3 continued until 02:44 on March 13, about 35 hours after loss of backup power. In unit 2 the RCIC survived until 13:25 on March 14, some 46 hours after the accident.

Furthermore, the isolation cooling system in unit 1 seems to have been manually switched off while the Residual Heat Removal System was still operating on Emergency Diesel power and wasn't immediately restarted when the diesels (and consequently the RHRS) failed.

 

[elektrownik]

More about radiation in unit 1:

Google translation: NHK www3.nhk.or.jp Extremely high radiation doses the No. 1 building
June 4, at 51 minutes 13
Nuclear melt down "meltdown" in the reactor building of Unit 1 of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station is expected to Toukyoudenryoku happened to the survey put the robot, the steam rising from the gap between the floor and piping, found that the radiation dose was measured extremely high mSv per hour near its 4000.
In Unit 1 of Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, the "meltdown" a hole in the reactor, seen as too damaged containment vessel also has accumulated a large amount of water in the basement of the reactor leaked high levels of pollution . The roadmap towards the convergence of the accident, move it out through the cold water pipe pollution, plans to build a recycling system that re-inserted into a reactor, in a full-scale preparation reactor are underway. Thus, three days into the reactor building teleoperator radio, conducted a survey of internal state. As a result, the double doors near the southeast side of the ground floor, has been confirmed that the steam rose up from the pipes have come up from the floor space. In this area, 3000 per hour - is that the radiation dose was measured extremely high 4000 mSv. The reactor building of Unit 1 had a high radiation dose is measured in mSv per hour on June 13 2000, this value is the highest radiation dose was measured at Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant so far value. TEPCO, try the steam that leaked out of the water of about 50 degrees have a lot of pressure control chamber of the reactor building basement, trying to further analysis. TEPCO, for now, the high radiation dose was measured because this place is limited, impact on work and has less radiation dose is extremely high, and interfere with future work Do not proceed to consider it

50C ? But it is boiling... and how it can be so hot ? Reactor readings show ~100C but this boiling place is not in torus level, but on ground floor

 

[elektrownik]

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_10.jpg

I see now, Hight side pressure - 0,1 MPa, low side pressure 0,2 MPa, and differential pressure - 0,1 MPa
So reactor presure is 0,2 MPa - 0,18 MPA = 0,02 MPa
equation from here: http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/nu/fukushima-np/images/handouts_110602_02-e.pdf
So we should now add 0,1013 to result ?
so 0,1013 + 0,02 = 0,1213 so it is litle bigger than atmospheric pressure ?

 

[Lambert]

this may be off topic but I found it as interesting nontheless :

 

[joewein]

There a proper translation on http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_16.html :

Steam, high radiation detected at No.1 reactor
The operator of the damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant says steam was observed coming out of the floor of the No.1 reactor building, and extremely high radiation was detected in the vicinity.

Tokyo Electric Power Company inspected the inside of the No.1 reactor building on Friday with a remote-controlled robot.

TEPCO said it found that steam was rising from a crevice in the floor, and that extremely high radiation of 3,000 to 4,000 millisieverts per hour was measured around the area. The radiation is believed to be the highest detected in the air at the plant.

TEPCO says the steam is likely coming from water at a temperature of 50 degrees Celsius that has accumulated in the basement of the reactor building.

 

[elektrownik]

There a proper translation on http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_16.html :

Yes but there is more informations in Japan version

 

[Borek]

The fission products do not go far - only a few microns (2-6 um) with the heavier nuclide going shorter distances, and the lighter one going longer.

Sorry, and thanks for clarification. I guess my statement "highly charged ions going through the fuel rod" wasn't the luckiest one. Several microns - in terms of atomic distances - means nuclei move past several thousands atoms from the place they were created, that's far enough to assume place where they stop is completely random and unrelated to the place of origin.

 

[Borek]

(Steam coming from water 50°C? Doesn't make sense to me...)

Why not? Whether the steam - that is, condensation - is visible, is a matter of many factors, including humidity, air temperature, presence of nucleation sites (dust) and so on.

50C ? But it is boiling...

Is it confirmed it is boiling, or do you just guess it boils because it is steaming?

 

[elektrownik]

Why not? Whether the steam - that is, condensation - is visible, is a matter of many factors, including humidity, air temperature, presence of nucleation sites (dust) and so on.



Is it confirmed it is boiling, or do you just guess it boils because it is steaming?

You can see on tepco video that water is boiling
http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_09.zip when robot zoom to hole

 

[razzz]

this may be off topic but I found it as interesting nontheless :

Fascinating.

 

[LabratSR]

Unit 1 Radiation Survey

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/nu/fukushima-np/images/handouts_110604_01-e.pdf

 

[tsutsuji]

I made the following quote yesterday at https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?p=3336238#post3336238, using copy-paste from the nhk website :

In mid-August, [Tepco] will also install an underground storage tank that can hold 100,000 tons of highly radioactive water.
http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_19.html

Other people have made a similar copy-paste with the 100,000 ton figure ( http://arkanoidlegent.blogspot.com/2011/06/japan-tepco-needs-to-store-100000-tons.html ; http://www.wahlfieber.com/de_du/forum/Bundestagswahl/4793/751/#posting751 )

However, when I access http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_19.html today, I see that the text has been changed with a 10,000 ton figure instead :

In mid-August, it will also install an underground storage tank that can hold 10,000 tons of highly radioactive water.

Friday, June 03, 2011 14:05 +0900 (JST)
http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_19.html

The "storage tank" wording might actually mean "storage facility" consisting of a number of the smaller tanks mentioned at http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/nu/fukushima-np/images/handouts_110603_02-e.pdf

The original Japanese nhk news at http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20110603/t10013296051000.html is using the word "tank(s)" without any clue whether it is a singular or a plural. The figure reads 10,000 tons. The installing date information actually reads "aiming the middle decade of August" (which is not the same as starting in mid-August).

A few hours later nhk said :

TEPCO officials say that in the event the filters don't work properly, the utility will complete an additional underground tank for highly contaminated water by mid-August.

Friday, June 03, 2011 20:15 +0900 (JST)
http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_31.html

A few more hours later (June 04, 2011, 18:48 JST), nhk added that an amount of 370 tanks - those with a 120 ton capacity from June 4th to the middle decade of July ; those with a 100 ton capacity from the middle decade of June until the middle decade of August - will be installed, providing a 40,000 ton storage capacity : http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20110604/t10013318631000.html

Tokyo Electric Power Co, the utility that operates the troubled Fukushima Dai-ichi plant, said two of the 370 tanks were due to arrive today.

http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/l...er-tanks-for-stricken-n-plant-91466-28819462/

The Yomiuri helicopter photographed the departure of the 120 ton tanks from Kanuma city : http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/national/news/20110604-OYT1T00656.htm

The tank manufacturer Tamada's website has a copy of a picture showing some of the 100 ton tanks waiting in Kumamoto on May 25th : http://www.tamada.co.jp/company/news/110527.php

 

[Lambert]

Fascinating.

So true, what do you expect though? Cheers!

 

[elektrownik]

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_10.jpg

I see now, Hight side pressure - 0,1 MPa, low side pressure 0,2 MPa, and differential pressure - 0,1 MPa
So reactor presure is 0,2 MPa - 0,18 MPA = 0,02 MPa
equation from here: http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/nu/fukushima-np/images/handouts_110602_02-e.pdf
So we should now add 0,1013 to result ?
so 0,1013 + 0,02 = 0,1213 so it is litle bigger than atmospheric pressure ?

weee my computations were correct, look on tepco data summary 6/4 at 12:00
http://www.tepco.co.jp/nu/fukushima-np/f1/images/11060412_table_summary-j.pdf
0,025MPa + 0,1013=0,1263
So where all nitrogen go ?



Ps. also water level in unit 1 sfp hit low record - only 1m, if they will not inject water fuel will be exposed in less than 24 h

 

[GJBRKS]

Is it confirmed it is boiling, or do you just guess it boils because it is steaming?

Not sure if it's water or photons on the CCD ?

Could be the CCD , but seems like waterbubbles ?

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_09.zip

[EDIT] Hmmm , on third look they do seem to be waterbubbles ...( from 0:20 sec onwards)

 

[MadderDoc]

Not sure if it's water or photons on the CCD ?

Could be the CCD , but seems like waterbubbles ?

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_09.zip

[EDIT] Hmmm , on third look they do seem to be waterbubbles ...( from 0:20 sec onwards)

Yes, it would seem too far fetched to say these are CCD artefacts..

Only two explanations seem to me consistent with what we see
a) boiling water
b) gas mixture escaping through water, either or both of which hot.

 

[MadderDoc]

So, is the cesium a metal or an oxide?

Coming out of a nuclear reaction, presumably cesium atoms (metal) as well as a multitude of cesium ion species could be initially formed, however with cesium ion Cs⁺ being likely the only chemically stable end product.

 

[imandylite]

Packbot video of Steaming pipe junctions - ground floor reactor unit 1

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0cA8Kz_bPmM

Or - is it boiling?

 

[AntonL]

Packbot video of Steaming pipe junctions - ground floor reactor unit 1

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0cA8Kz_bPmM

Or - is it boiling?

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_16.html

TEPCO said it found that steam was rising from a crevice in the floor, and that extremely high radiation of 3,000 to 4,000 millisieverts per hour was measured around the area. The radiation is believed to be the highest detected in the air at the plant.

TEPCO says the steam is likely coming from water at a temperature of 50 degrees Celsius that has accumulated in the basement of the reactor building.

The company sees no major impact from the radiation so far on ongoing work, as it has been detected only within a limited section of the building

The steam generated in the reactor must go somewhere, that it is from 50^oC water in the basement is possibly the simpler and non alarmist message

 

[westfield]

You can see on tepco video that water is boiling
http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/news/110311/images/110604_09.zip when robot zoom to hole

FWIW I'm not convinced by the footage, the quality just isn't good enough to see properly. Looking in slow mo at the darker patches, the "water", just doesn't look to me like boiling fluid. More like artifacts I thought.

But also, for it to be visible boiling fluid wouldn't two levels of basement need to be completely and totally flooded to the ceilings? If it was totally flooded and boiling would it just quietly percolate at that pipe penetration or would it be burping water and steam out of that hole much more actively?

Whatever it is or isn't, it's still not a good thing to have going on obviously.

 

[swl]

Regarding the bubbling steam video:

If those are gas bubbles boiling up in the video, they could also be from Nitrogen gas being injected, or air entrained in a water injection or circulation system.
Is TEPCO still injecting Nitrogen into unit 1? If so, does anyone here know the injection point?

Could also be gas, including steam, bubbling up from the RPV via way of it's ventilation path through the torus. Or gas from the boiling lump in the bottom of the dry well, or... nevermind.

And as for the water could it be just water standing in a drain under a steam trap? Are we sure the water in video represents the 50* water in the "basement"?

It looks quite hot to me, but I can imagine too many possibilities to make the video of much use to me.

The high radiation readings sound bad to me, but I'm comforted to hear TEPCO is not overly concerned.

 

[robinson]

The things you learn from the Japanese. I didn't even know steam could be produced by water at a temperature of 50 degrees Celsius. I also thought steam was invisible.

 

[Bioengineer01]

The things you learn from the Japanese. I didn't even know steam could be produced by water at a temperature of 50 degrees Celsius. I also thought steam was invisible.

Can somebody disprove this?

My Hypothesis: Water is in contact with Superhot Corium somewhere in the basement, a layer of vapor exists around the Corium, the outside layer of that superhot vapor is finding its way to the surface through the rest of the water in the basement, that is at 50 C on the average near the surface, where they are probably measuring its temperature.

 

[robinson]

From a physics point of view, what material could be producing that high level of radiation in the water vapor we see in the video?

 

[Bioengineer01]

http://www.chrismartenson.com/blog/exclusive-arnie-gundersen-interview-dangers-fukushima-are-worse-and-longer-lived-we-think/58689#comments
Arnie Gundersen says that Units 1 and 2 can not get any worse because the worst already happened... He also says that the Corium can not achieve re-criticality... That is not what I thought, can somebody clarify this?
Also he makes no mention of the large increase in Iodine-131/Cesium-137 that we saw inside the silt fence of Unit2, I think that the 28th of May... He doesn't think that the Corium will ablate through the concrete. He doesn't say why he thinks that way.

He says that Unit 3 is starting (getting critical) and stopping all the time and can still get a lot worse if the fuel melts through and suddenly falls on water.

He is also concerned about unit 4 SFP crashing. And about the ground water being contaminated by radioactive material.

 

[Borek]

The things you learn from the Japanese. I didn't even know steam could be produced by water at a temperature of 50 degrees Celsius. I also thought steam was invisible.

Water evaporates - producing steam - always, even at room tmeperatures. Leave a glass of water for long enough and it dries out - that's evaporation, no boiling needed.

Steam is invisible, but depending on conditions it can quite easily condense into fog. What people call "steam" is in fact fog. I guess (English being my second language) these things can be also classified as "dry steam" and "wet steam" - the latter containing small, visible water droplets.

 

[Bioengineer01]

Water evaporates - producing steam - always, even at room tmeperatures. Leave a glass of water for long enough and it dries out - that's evaporation, no boiling needed.

Steam is invisible, but depending on conditions it can quite easily condense into fog. What people call "steam" is in fact fog. I guess (English being my second language) these things can be also classified as "dry steam" and "wet steam" - the latter containing small, visible water droplets.

The explanation is a lot simpler, just put a very long and narrow cylindrical container full of water and apply heat to its bottom, after a while you will see water bubbles coming to the surface if the heat at the bottom is enough to vaporize and energize the layer of water at that spot so that it can reach the surface without cooling down below the boiling point. Obviously, the temperature of the surface water (opposite side to where the heat is applied) will be inversely proportional to the height of the cylinder that you used. This case can provide you with a sufficiently long cylinder and sufficient energy applied to the bottom in the form of heat, boiling water bubbles going through water at 50 C in the surface.

 

[robinson]

I guess if you define steam as water vapor, and define fog or water droplets (what we see) as steam, then it all makes sense.

 

[Bioengineer01]

I guess if you define steam as water vapor, and define fog or water droplets (what we see) as steam, then it all makes sense.

Guys, this is not vapor from normal evaporation of water, this is steam coming through the surface of water and distorting the surface in the form of bubbles, you can see the dynamics of the steam bubbles breaking the surface of the water in the video, this has a lot more energy than regular evaporation vapor. Something -The Corium?- has energized these water molecules a lot...

 

[tsutsuji]

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/04_16.html


The steam generated in the reactor must go somewhere, that it is from 50^oC water in the basement is possibly the simpler and non alarmist message

Is this steam contaminated ? If it is, don't we need a cooling system to cool this basement to a temperature lower than 50°C in order to prevent contaminated steam from rising into the atmosphere ?

 

[agapemom]

I have been trying to read what I can of this 500+ page thread to understand what is happening at the Fukushima power plant. Most of the discussions are over my head, but I can follow the gist of the important points.

Would anyone be willing to take a stab at describing (in layman's terms): 1) the current state of the containment efforts, 2) theorizing a likely outcome, and 3) what are the likely effects of a "worst case scenario"?

In a worst case scenario, does this have the potential to create felt global health consequences, or like Chernobyl, only local or regional?

Someone asked my opinion on a FB post in this way, "break it down for us dumb dumbs and give us the cliff notes...do we head for the lead-lined hills or what?"

I guess that's what I'm trying to ask as well. :-)

 

[robinson]

Forget that steam, what about the huge clouds of steam coming out the building almost all the time? What is in that?

 

[turi]

Guys, this is not vapor from normal evaporation of water, this is steam coming through the surface of water and distorting the surface in the form of bubbles, you can see the dynamics of the steam bubbles breaking the surface of the water in the video, this has a lot more energy than regular evaporation vapor. Something -The Corium?- has energized these water molecules a lot...

I'm not convinced those are bubbles. If you look at the right side of the picture during the "bubbling" you see similar artifacts there. Because it's less dark than where that pipe is, it's less visible.

 

[hbjon]

this may be off topic but I found it as interesting nontheless :

Interesting video of a former reactor worker who seems to think he was severely wronged by GE. Hard to believe that he worked in sweatshop conditions under GE, but it makes one wonder if the slaves don't want to row anymore that they would try to sabatage a nuke plant in the event of an emergency. Is it human nature? In the event of possible destruction to the thing that is causing them harm, that they would not do everything in their power to save the thing. To me it seems unthinkable. But I always try to imagine the unthinkable so I don't get caught up in the idea of preconception. Best wishes to all. Prayers for the workers.

 

[robinson]

In a worst case scenario, does this have the potential to create felt global health consequences, or like Chernobyl, only local or regional?

I can answer that. Worst case scenario would be all the fuel burns and explodes (steam and/or hydrogen explosions, not nuclear) and ends up all over Japan, and the rest of the planet. Depending on the wind and rain it would contaminate vast areas of the planet, and could turn most of Japan into a radioactive wasteland for longer than human history.

The effects on ocean life are an unknown, but worst case scenario is so horrific nobody even wants to think about it, much less describe it in detail.

 

[robinson]

2) theorizing a likely outcome

What sane rational people would like is for all six reactors to be brought to cooldown with no more release of radiation. And all the spent fuel to be cooled and kept under water, until it can be removed and stored safely. And all the contaminated water to be cleaned up.

Then in maybe 15 or 20 years the melted fuel to be removed and safely contained. The problem is, after 25 years they still haven't been able to do this to one reactor in Russia.

 

[elektrownik]

Did last strong earthquake close to Fukushima (5,6) in last days damaged unit 1 SFP ? For some reason, water level is now only 1m, but it was 2,5-4m usal

 

[robinson]

720,000 terabecquerels of radioactive substances

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/03_31.html

1 Ci = 37,000,000,000 Bq

Fukushima (in the water there)

720,000,000,000,000,000 Bq

Unless I made a math error, that's
19,459,459 Curies currently in just the waste water there. That doesn't include the material spread out over the land, around the world, or into the ocean from leaking water.

What was the figure for Chernobyl again?

(edit)

Ah, found it.

Chernybyl released about 1,300,000 Ci of Ce-137 and 2,400,000 Ci of Ce-137

 

[elektrownik]

Can anyone explain unit 1 sfp water level ?
Data from 5/16 to 6/4 measured 2 times per day...

 

[Astronuc]

The things you learn from the Japanese. I didn't even know steam could be produced by water at a temperature of 50 degrees Celsius. I also thought steam was invisible.

Superheated (dry) steam is more or less invisible - like air or many gases. Steam in air is usually saturated. One can see steam or saturated vapor in one's shower or from any hot water faucet, at temperatures of about 50C