Lurking said:
Would any of you knowledgeable people like to comment on the latest by Gunderson.
If someone already posted this today and I missed it..I do apologize.
Newly released TEPCO data provides evidence of periodic chain reaction at Fukushima Unit 1
http://vimeo.com/21881702
Gunderson has little or no credibility. I'm not sure how he gets information or how or what he analyzes.
If the core was having neutron bursts - they should not be of the magnitude of the steady-state neutron flux, since they are starting off at essentially zero power - neutron-wise. There are sources of neutrons present from the spontaneous fission of transuranics like Pu240 and Pu 242 in the higher burnup fuel. If there is water to promote criticality, then that was slows the neutrons. I don't see how there can be neutron beams emanating out to 1 mile or 1.5 km.
As for more iodine, that could mean some fuel which hasn't failed (breached) has since failed/ruptured. The exact state of the fuel is simply unknown.
The decay heat has been steadily reducing, but the temperature will fluctuate depending on the 'heat transfer'. If there is steam, the heat transfer from the fuel is poor, so the temperature will rise. If the steam is replaced by water, the heat transfer is much better, and the temperature drops, and the water is heated and may change phase (boil) from liquid to steam. Temperatures will fluctuate depending on water level and the rate at which cool water is introduced and heated or boiled. As far as I know, the cooling has not been continuous and steady.
I know there is a concern about criticality in the SFP and core. I would expect that TEPCO personnel have added borated water to core and SFP precisely to prevent recriticality.
If the core or SFP went dry, criticality would be less likely because there would be no water to moderate neutrons. If fresh water were introduced, criticality would be a concern, particularly if the fresh water were not borated, AND the control rods in the core had lost the boron, and the SFP racks had lost their inventory of boron.
Both the core and SFP were apparently flooded with seawater. Seawater is rather corrosive on stainless steel (SS304) which is typically used for control rods, in-core structures, and probably SFP racks. If the boron content of control rods or SFP racks was diminished, and fresh water introduced to the core or SFP, the criticality would certainly be a concern. Hopefully the plant personnel are taking appropriate precautions to prevent re-criticality.
FYI -
http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/nuregs/staff/sr0933/sec3/196.html