Probability most probable value

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on identifying the most probable values of discrete random variables, specifically within the context of the binomial distribution \(X \sim Bi(n,p)\) and the Poisson distribution with parameter \(\lambda\). It is established that every discrete random variable has at least one most probable value. For the binomial distribution, the most probable value is \([(n+1)p]\), while for the Poisson distribution, it is \([\lambda]\). The probability mass functions for both distributions are provided, enabling the calculation of these values.

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  • Understanding of discrete random variables
  • Familiarity with binomial distribution \(B(n,p)\)
  • Knowledge of Poisson distribution with parameter \(\lambda\)
  • Ability to compute probability mass functions
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  • Study the derivation of the most probable value for the binomial distribution \(X \sim Bi(n,p)\)
  • Learn how to calculate the supremum of probability mass functions
  • Explore the properties of the Poisson distribution and its applications
  • Investigate the ratio of consecutive probabilities in binomial distributions to determine monotonicity
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Students studying probability theory, statisticians analyzing discrete distributions, and educators teaching concepts related to random variables and their properties.

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Homework Statement



Let ##X## be a discrete random variable, we say that ##x_0 \in R_X## is a most probable value for ##X## if

##p_X(x_0)=sup_{x \in R_X} p_X(x)##.

1)Show that every discrete random variable admits at least one most probable value.

2) Check that ##[(n+1)p]## is a most probable value for ##X \sim Bi(n,p)##, and that ##[\lambda]## is a most probable value for the Poisson distribution of parameter ##\lambda##


The Attempt at a Solution



I am pretty lost in both parts of the problem. As for 2), I know that if ##X## has a binomial distribution ##B(n,p)##, then the mass function

##p_X(x)=\binom{n}{x}(1-p)^{n-x}p^x##,

and that if ##X## has a poisson distribution, then the mass function is

##p_X(x)=\dfrac{\lambda^x}{x!}e^{-\lambda}##.

How can I find the supreme of both functions? Any help would be appreciated.
 
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mahler1 said:

Homework Statement



Let ##X## be a discrete random variable, we say that ##x_0 \in R_X## is a most probable value for ##X## if

##p_X(x_0)=sup_{x \in R_X} p_X(x)##.

1)Show that every discrete random variable admits at least one most probable value.

2) Check that ##[(n+1)p]## is a most probable value for ##X \sim Bi(n,p)##, and that ##[\lambda]## is a most probable value for the Poisson distribution of parameter ##\lambda##


The Attempt at a Solution



I am pretty lost in both parts of the problem. As for 2), I know that if ##X## has a binomial distribution ##B(n,p)##, then the mass function

##p_X(x)=\binom{n}{x}(1-p)^{n-x}p^x##,

and that if ##X## has a poisson distribution, then the mass function is

##p_X(x)=\dfrac{\lambda^x}{x!}e^{-\lambda}##.

How can I find the supreme of both functions? Any help would be appreciated.

If
b(k) \equiv b_{n,p}(k) = {n \choose k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k},
what is a simple expression for
r(k) = \frac{b(k+1)}{b(k)}\:?
So, how can you tell if ##b## is increasing at ##k## (that is, if ##b(k+1) \geq b(k)##)?

Do something similar for the Poisson distribution.
 
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