Probability problem involving binomial expnasions

AI Thread Summary
The discussion revolves around a probability problem involving binomial expansions. The first part requires expanding the expression ([2/3]+[1/3])^4, which is straightforward and correctly calculated. The second part involves determining the probabilities of drawing chocolates of different types, with specific focus on getting all strawberry creams, two of each type, and at least two strawberry creams. There is confusion regarding the calculation of the probability for at least two strawberry creams, with one participant initially arriving at an incorrect answer due to miscalculating fractions. Clarifications emphasize the importance of maintaining consistent denominators and careful fraction management throughout the calculations.
sinisterstuf
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Homework Statement



a) Expand ([2/3]+[1/3])^4
b) Four chocolates are randomly taken (with replacement) from a box containing strawberry creams and almond centres in the ratio 2 : 1. What is the probability of getting:
i) all strawberry creams
ii) two of each type
iii) at least 2 strawberry creams?

(I can't use the things at the top of the form so I'll write fractions as (x/y) and powers as x^y)


Homework Equations




...well, this is how you do the general binomial expansion:
Tr+1 = (n,r) a^(n-r) b^r

n is the number of terms
r is the term you are at
the r+1 is supposed to be subscript
the n & r in (n,r) (that is the coefficient) are supposed to be one above the other

The Attempt at a Solution



a) is easy: ([2/3]+[1/3])^4 = (2/3)^4 + 4(2/3)^3(1/3) + 6(2/3)^2(1/3)^2 + 4(2/3)(1/3)^3 + (1/3)^4

b) is also mostly easy:
i) (2/3)^4 = (16/81)
ii) 6(2/3)^2(1/3)^2 = (8/27)
iii) this one I can't do. The book says the answer is (8/9) but I don't know how they got it. I got (392/729). This is how i got it. The question asks for possibilites of 2 or more of the 2/3 chocolates, so:
(2/3)^4 + 4(2/3)^3(1/3) + 6(2/3)^2(1/3)^2 =
= (16/81) + 4(8/27)(1/27) + (8/27)
= (16/81) + (8/27)(4/27) + (24/81)
= (144/729) + (32/729) + (216/729)
= (392/729)
I don't know what I do wrong, but I have a feeling it's in the probability part. There's probably something wrong with how I'm combining the probilities of 2 strawberry, 3 strawbeery & 4 strawberry. Can anyone lend me a hand please? Is there anything more that I need to add?

thanks in advance
-sinisterstuf
 
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Welcome to PF!

Hi sinisterstuf ! Welcome to PF! :smile:
sinisterstuf said:
(2/3)^4 + 4(2/3)^3(1/3) + 6(2/3)^2(1/3)^2 =
= (16/81) + 4(8/27)(1/27) + (8/27)

erm … where did those 27s come from?? :confused:

all the fractions should be over 81, shouldn't they? :smile:
 
sinisterstuf said:

Homework Statement



a) Expand ([2/3]+[1/3])^4
b) Four chocolates are randomly taken (with replacement) from a box containing strawberry creams and almond centres in the ratio 2 : 1. What is the probability of getting:
i) all strawberry creams
ii) two of each type
iii) at least 2 strawberry creams?

(I can't use the things at the top of the form so I'll write fractions as (x/y) and powers as x^y)


Homework Equations




...well, this is how you do the general binomial expansion:
Tr+1 = (n,r) a^(n-r) b^r

n is the number of terms
r is the term you are at
the r+1 is supposed to be subscript
the n & r in (n,r) (that is the coefficient) are supposed to be one above the other

The Attempt at a Solution



a) is easy: ([2/3]+[1/3])^4 = (2/3)^4 + 4(2/3)^3(1/3) + 6(2/3)^2(1/3)^2 + 4(2/3)(1/3)^3 + (1/3)^4

b) is also mostly easy:
i) (2/3)^4 = (16/81)
ii) 6(2/3)^2(1/3)^2 = (8/27)
Okay. That is 6(4/9)(1/9) and you have canceled a "3" in both numerator and denominator, right?

iii) this one I can't do. The book says the answer is (8/9) but I don't know how they got it. I got (392/729). This is how i got it. The question asks for possibilites of 2 or more of the 2/3 chocolates, so:
(2/3)^4 + 4(2/3)^3(1/3) + 6(2/3)^2(1/3)^2 =
= (16/81) + 4(8/27)(1/27) + (8/27)
(16/81)+ 4(8/27)(1/3)+ 6(4/9)(1/9) = 16/81+ 32/81+ 24/81= 72/81

= (16/81) + (8/27)(4/27) + (24/81)
= (144/729) + (32/729) + (216/729)
= (392/729)
I don't know what I do wrong, but I have a feeling it's in the probability part. There's probably something wrong with how I'm combining the probilities of 2 strawberry, 3 strawbeery & 4 strawberry. Can anyone lend me a hand please? Is there anything more that I need to add?

thanks in advance
-sinisterstuf
 
Wow thanks. And thanks for the welcome :)

and HallsofIvy is right. It's to get the answer in simplest form.

Ok, so you get the correct answer but there's a part i don't understand. How do you get the 32/81?! I understand that 4(8/27) = 32/81, right? But where does the 1/3 go then? The one that's next to the 4(8/27) to be multiplied with it. Am I just tired or am I just nor getting this?
 
… it was lost, but now it's found …

sinisterstuf said:
… there's a part i don't understand. How do you get the 32/81?! I understand that 4(8/27) = 32/81, right? But where does the 1/3 go then? The one that's next to the 4(8/27) to be multiplied with it. Am I just tired or am I just nor getting this?

Hi sinisterstuf! :smile:

Yes, you're very tired, or you wouldn't have made all those mistakes at the start.

4(8/27) = 32/27, not 32/81.

The 1/3 wandered away when you dropped off for a few minutes. :wink:

… you take your eye off them for a moment :rolleyes:


Useful tip: in problems like this, the denominators will always be the same … so check each one as you go, and if it's not (in this case) 81, then you know you've made a mistake.

When you're herding fractions, remember …

fractions of a feather flock together! :smile:

Another useful tip: Get some sleep! :zzz:
 
Hahaha, oh my goodness that's embarrasing, I feel a bit... dumb. But I was so tired, it's my excuse. :P

Thanks for your help!
I'll keep your advice in mind ;)

thanks
-sinisterstuf
 
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