PeterDonis said:
Ok, but QM predictions of probabilities are not facts. So if you want to focus on facts, you shouldn't even be talking about predictions of probabilities.
I didn't say it was pointless. I said it was irrelevant to the particular thing you appeared to be focusing on. Which, as noted above, is a prediction of probabilities, not a fact.
Ok, fine, if that's what you want to ask about, you should just ask about it. There's no need to go wandering off into irrelevancies about past light cones.
"Fact" might not have been the clearest term to use, apologies. Would mathematical facts (as opposed to observational facts) be a better choice of words perhaps, or theoretical information? In interpretations of QM discussion is often on the interpretation of the statistical predictions. It's in that context I am trying to interpret what the probabilistic interpretations tell us, in conjunction with what an aspect of relativity tells us.
In that sense, I don't think the past light cone is irrelevant since it is that information which forms the basis of the question being asked. It's a question of how to interpret that information.
PeterDonis said:
Yes. The particle always has one, deterministic trajectory. However, as I have already noted, there is no accepted relativistic version of Bohmian mechanics. So if you're asking about relativistic QM, there is not an accepted Bohmian interpretation of that.
Just to focus in on how we can interpret the probabilistic interpretations here, because it provides some context for the question re: QFT. In this case, the probabilistic predictions tell us that, in truth, there isn't really a genuine possibility of measuring the particle in either position. It is our information about the system which is incomplete.
PeterDonis said:
No. Collapse interpretations, meaning interpretations that say collapse is a real physical process, say that about collapse of the wave function. There are no "positions" independent of the wave function. There are no hidden particles as there are in Bohmian mechanics.
This is obviously a bit less intuitive but I wouldn't necessarily envisage hidden particles. Am I right in saying, in these collapse theories the wave function is a representation of the physical system delocalised in space; that, in some sense, the system is not localised to a single position but is physically spread out covering multiple positions?
My understanding is that, in this case, there is no missing information and the probabilistic predictions are a function of the genuine possibility of measuring the system in any of the positions (with non-zero probability). To account for why we only ever measure the position of the system in a single position (as opposed to all the non-zero positions) these interpretations say the system, randomly and physically, "collapses" to a single position. This entails some form of physical FTL causation which cannot be used for signalling.
PeterDonis said:
Not in any meaningful sense, since collapse intepretations still have to satisfy the no signaling theorem in QM.
It would be meaningful in the sense that it is the reason [according to those collapse theories] we measure the system in a single position as opposed to all the non-zero predicted positions. It would be meaningful in the sense that it is a physical process which plays a causal role in the Universe. It wouldn't be exploitable, but it does have more than just a superficial meaning, I would say.
PeterDonis said:
a photon passing through a beam splitter and having 50% probability of being detected by each of two detectors, one in each output arm of the beam splitter. In such an experiment, we already know that only one of the two detectors will register a photon on each run, so there is literally no possibility at all of a photon being detected at two spacelike separated events.
You don't even need relativity or any rule about "no FTL travel" for this; it's literally required just by the experimental setup itself.
At least this much I do get

None of them say that both detectors will register a measurement event.
Looking at this in terms of the different interpretations [excluding the past light cone], while I wouldn't call them intuitive, I can make some sense of what Bohmian Mechanics and certain collapse theories say. I'm just less clear on what QFT says.
BM appears to say that both detectors don't truly have a genuine possibility of registering the measurement event. It's our incomplete information which makes it appear that way. This explains why we only end up with a single measurement outcome.
Certain collapse theories appear to say there is a genuine possibility of measuring at A or B but random, physical, FTL collapse of the wave function explains why we only get a single measurement event.
I'm not entirely clear how QFT explains the single measurement outcome. Unlike BM, it doesn't appear to imply that the probabilistic predictions are the result of incomplete information. FWICG, it says there is a genuine possibility of measuring the system at either location. This sounds similar to certain collapse theories, but the collapse theories explain this through FTL collapse of the physically delocalised system (represented by the wave function). Is there a similar explanation associated with QFT?
The subsequent question, with regard to the past light cone is just an extension of the question of whether there was a genuine possibility of measuring the system at all non-zero positions. Given that some of them lie outside the past light cone, how can we interpret that information?
PeterDonis said:
Second, the supposed rule you give here for relativistic interpretations isn't a matter of interpretation at all. It's a matter of the basic math of relativistic QM, i.e., QFT. And what the basic math of QFT tells you is: there is no way to even formulate this question because there is no way of identifying "the same particle" at different events in QFT. QFT is a theory of fields, not particles. "Particles" are just particular field states with particular observable manifestations. If you have two measurement events, event A measuring "one electron here" and event B measuring "one electron here", there is no way to tell that those two electrons are "the same" electron. Particles don't have little identifiers on them that keep track of them. All you can say is that there was an electron present at event A and an electron present at event B. You cannot say they were "the same" electron. (And you cannot say they were not the same electron either.)
I'm not necessarily talking about separate events, as opposed to the probability of a measurement event. It's more a question of whether there was a genuine possibility of measuring the field state at all of the non-zero locations (similar to what collapse interpretations might say); or no genuine possibility (similar to BM).
My understanding is that QFT says there was a genuine possibility, but it's different from collapse interpretations. Collapse interpretations put forward a relatively clear (if unintuitive) explanation as to the origin of the probabilities and the single measurement outcome. I'm not clear on what the alternative explanation is according to QFT.
PeterDonis said:
Causality in QFT is more subtle than that. QFT actually does not have a rule that anything that happens at a given event can only be caused by something in the past light cone of that event. All QFT says is that measurements at spacelike separated events must commute, i.e., their results must not depend on the order in which they are made. (This rule makes obvious sense since the time ordering of spacelike separated events is frame dependent, so there is no invariant fact of the matter about which one occurs first.) QFT does not forbid causal connections between spacelike separated events, as long as what happens at those events does not depend on their ordering.
It's probably my misinterpretation, but does this not allow for FTL causation, if the causal influence can come from outside the past light cone?