MarcoD
mheslep said:That's not necessarily true either. There are counter examples, especially Russia. Sovereign debt is not the same as individual credit ratings.
Yes I agree, just not in the manner or to the degree you originally posted.
Russia had bad management but they had one thing working for them: They are an oil producing state with a large trade surplus. If they take a hit because of mismanagement, a lot of stuff recovers soon because everybody knows that money will be pouring in no matter what.
I responded to what would happen if the debt ceiling isn't raised. I think a default in that scenario is more than likely. People, and I, still believe that the US will not default _but_ _only_ _because_ they have no other option than to raise the ceiling and move towards more austerity. But, it doesn't mean that it can't happen.
As I said before, stating that a failure to raise the debt ceiling will not result in default is equivalent to saying that Greece wouldn't default on its debt since they also could just choose not to pay the wages.
The republican/democrat debate is comparable to a married couple which borrowed too much and can't agree on how to make ends meet. But the banks are still inclined to borrow more money, and the couple is married so they'll need to -and probably will- work it out no matter what.
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