Solving Probability Density: Get Free Burger in 10 Mins

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johnhuntsman
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The manager of a fast food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for their food is 2.5 minutes. The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. She doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 2% of her customers. What should the advertisement say?

I'm solving for [itex]t[/itex]:

[itex]\int_ 0.4e^{-t/2.5}~dt=0.02[/itex]

[itex]-e^{-t/2.5}=0.02[/itex]

[itex]0=0.02+e^{-t/2.5}[/itex]

Take the natural logs and add [itex]-t/2.5[/itex] to get it back on the other side.

[itex]t/2.5=-3.91[/itex]

[itex]t=-1.56[/itex]

The answer is ten minutes. What did I do wrong?
 
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johnhuntsman said:
The manager of a fast food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for their food is 2.5 minutes. The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. She doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 2% of her customers. What should the advertisement say?

I'm solving for [itex]t[/itex]:

[itex]\int_ 0.4e^{-t/2.5}~dt=0.02[/itex]

[itex]-e^{-t/2.5}=0.02[/itex]

[itex]0=0.02+e^{-t/2.5}[/itex]

Take the natural logs and add [itex]-t/2.5[/itex] to get it back on the other side.

[itex]t/2.5=-3.91[/itex]

[itex]t=-1.56[/itex]

The answer is ten minutes. What did I do wrong?

You cannot have exp(-t/2.5) = -0.02, since the exponential function is always > 0. You did the integration incorrectly.

RGV
 
johnhuntsman said:
The manager of a fast food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for their food is 2.5 minutes. The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. She doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 2% of her customers. What should the advertisement say?

I'm solving for [itex]t[/itex]:

[itex]\int_ 0.4e^{-t/2.5}~dt=0.02[/itex]

[itex]-e^{-t/2.5}=0.02[/itex]

You need to show the limits of the integral and calculate with them. The probability that somebody is not served for x minutes is

[tex]\int _x^\infty{0.4 e^{-0.4 t}dt}=0.02[/tex]

ehild