Solving Probability Density: Get Free Burger in 10 Mins

In summary, the manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. She doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 2% of her customers.
  • #1
johnhuntsman
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0
The manager of a fast food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for their food is 2.5 minutes. The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. She doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 2% of her customers. What should the advertisement say?

I'm solving for [itex]t[/itex]:

[itex]\int_ 0.4e^{-t/2.5}~dt=0.02[/itex]

[itex]-e^{-t/2.5}=0.02[/itex]

[itex]0=0.02+e^{-t/2.5}[/itex]

Take the natural logs and add [itex]-t/2.5[/itex] to get it back on the other side.

[itex]t/2.5=-3.91[/itex]

[itex]t=-1.56[/itex]

The answer is ten minutes. What did I do wrong?
 
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  • #2
johnhuntsman said:
The manager of a fast food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for their food is 2.5 minutes. The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. She doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 2% of her customers. What should the advertisement say?

I'm solving for [itex]t[/itex]:

[itex]\int_ 0.4e^{-t/2.5}~dt=0.02[/itex]

[itex]-e^{-t/2.5}=0.02[/itex]

[itex]0=0.02+e^{-t/2.5}[/itex]

Take the natural logs and add [itex]-t/2.5[/itex] to get it back on the other side.

[itex]t/2.5=-3.91[/itex]

[itex]t=-1.56[/itex]

The answer is ten minutes. What did I do wrong?

You cannot have exp(-t/2.5) = -0.02, since the exponential function is always > 0. You did the integration incorrectly.

RGV
 
  • #3
johnhuntsman said:
The manager of a fast food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for their food is 2.5 minutes. The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. She doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 2% of her customers. What should the advertisement say?

I'm solving for [itex]t[/itex]:

[itex]\int_ 0.4e^{-t/2.5}~dt=0.02[/itex]

[itex]-e^{-t/2.5}=0.02[/itex]

You need to show the limits of the integral and calculate with them. The probability that somebody is not served for x minutes is

[tex]\int _x^\infty{0.4 e^{-0.4 t}dt}=0.02[/tex]

ehild
 

Related to Solving Probability Density: Get Free Burger in 10 Mins

1. How does solving probability density help me get a free burger in 10 minutes?

Solving probability density involves using mathematical techniques to calculate the likelihood of a certain event occurring. In this case, it can help us determine the chances of getting a free burger within 10 minutes based on factors such as the number of people in line, the efficiency of the restaurant, and the probability of winning a contest or promotion.

2. Is there a specific formula for solving probability density in this scenario?

Yes, there are various formulas and techniques that can be used to solve for probability density. Some common ones include the normal distribution, binomial distribution, and Poisson distribution. The specific formula used will depend on the specific scenario and information available.

3. What factors should be considered when solving for probability density in this situation?

Factors that may impact the probability of getting a free burger in 10 minutes include the number of people in line, the speed and efficiency of the restaurant staff, the likelihood of winning a contest or promotion, and any other relevant variables such as weather or traffic conditions.

4. How accurate are the results when solving for probability density?

The accuracy of the results will depend on the accuracy of the information and data used in the calculation. It is important to gather as much reliable information as possible to make the most accurate predictions. Additionally, probability is not a guarantee, so there is always a chance that the actual outcome may differ from the calculated probability.

5. Can solving probability density be applied to other scenarios besides getting a free burger in 10 minutes?

Yes, solving probability density can be applied to a wide range of scenarios in various fields such as statistics, economics, and science. It is a useful tool for predicting outcomes and making informed decisions based on probabilities.

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