U.S. Spam %: P=13+45*ln*x (2003) - Right or Wrong?

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The formula P=13+45*ln*x calculates the percentage of spam in U.S. inbound emails, with x representing years after 2000. In 2003, the calculation yields a spam percentage of approximately 62.5, contradicting earlier figures of 12.18 and 5.045. The model implies that by November 2022, all emails could potentially be spam. This aligns with the growing perception of inbox spam levels. The discussion highlights concerns about the accuracy and implications of spam predictions in email communications.
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P=13+45*ln*x represents the percentage of inbound e-mail in the U.S. that is considered spam, where x is the number of years after 2000. say you use 2003, i keep figurin out this out and i get 12.18 and 5.045, i like to have someone tell me if I am right or wrong
 
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poohbear1986 said:
P=13+45*ln*x represents the percentage of inbound e-mail in the U.S. that is considered spam, where x is the number of years after 2000. say you use 2003, i keep figurin out this out and i get 12.18 and 5.045, i like to have someone tell me if I am right or wrong

Do you mean \[<br /> P = 13 + 45\ln (x)<br /> \]<br /> ?

The natural log of 3 is about 1.0986, or close to 1.10,
so in your example, P = 62.5
 
Last edited:
symbolipoint said:
Do you mean \[<br /> P = 13 + 45\ln (x)<br /> \]<br /> ?

What a model... it suggests that all email will be spam as of November of last year.
 
CRGreathouse said:
What a model... it suggests that all email will be spam as of November of last year.

Pretty much matches my inbox :smile:
 
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