What Are We Doing About The Next Big Geomagnetic Storm?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the potential impacts of the upcoming solar sunspot cycle, expected to peak around 2012-2013, on geomagnetic storms and their effects on electrical infrastructure. Participants explore strategies for mitigating these impacts, including the hardening of electrical systems and the reliability of power grids, particularly in the context of the United States.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants express concern about the vulnerability of the US power grid to geomagnetic storms, citing historical blackouts as evidence of its unreliability.
  • There are suggestions that countries like Canada and those in Europe have invested in improving grid systems to withstand such events, while the US may lag due to private ownership of infrastructure.
  • Participants discuss the concept of geomagnetic induced current and its potential to damage distribution transformers, with some noting that new breakers have been installed to prevent burn-outs.
  • Concerns are raised about cascade failures in power networks, with suggestions that better communication and preparedness could mitigate widespread outages.
  • One participant questions the computational intensity of power system protection, seeking clarification on whether this relates to computational electromagnetic (CEM) methods or control theory calculations.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the timing of the solar cycle peak, with some suggesting it may occur later than 2012-2013. There is also no agreement on the adequacy of current infrastructure or strategies to mitigate the effects of geomagnetic storms, indicating multiple competing views remain.

Contextual Notes

Participants express uncertainty regarding the effectiveness of current protective measures and the extent of investments made in the US power grid compared to other regions. There are also unresolved questions about the computational demands of power system protection.

Nspyred
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Yo.

As many of you know, the solar sunspot cycle is scheduled to peak again around 2012-2013. With it will come geomagnetic storms that will once again stress our electrical infrastructure.

I was wondering: what sort of strategies do we have to mitigate against this threat? Do we just power down? Can we figure out how to add it to the grid? Do we just "take it"?

Is this just an electrical and aerospace engineering problem, or are there others thinking about this as well?

I have read about "hardening" electrical infrastructure against transients and EMI, but what exactly does this mean?

Thanks for any input.
PS I am a 1st year EE with interests in electric power and electromagnetics.
 
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Power grids are mostly a problem for large systems far north. Canada and europe put a lot of money into improving grid systems since the 80s with cutt outs and surge protection.
I don't know about the US, since everything is owned by private companies it's unlikely a lot has been put into once in a generation events.

We rely a lot less on satelite communications than we did 10years ago - but a lot more on GPS. I'm guessing that the original customers of GPS would have specificed them to work in rare bad conditions.
 
I wouldn't be surprised if the US grid went down a few times during the next storm. I live in the NE part of the US and the grid isn't exactly known for being robust or reliable (remember the blackout of 03?). I know I'll be stocking up on a few extra candles and cans of chef-boyardee.
 
2012-2013 ??

I think the cycle is running a bit late: My guess is nearer 2015-16...

IIRC, the first big problem is geomagnetic induced current, low-frequency AC that swamps the cores of the big distribution transformers. IIRC, a lot of new breakers etc have been fitted to prevent burn-outs.

The other issue is 'cascade failure'. As I see it, the networks just have to talk to each other a bit better, and be prepared to 'ring fence' outages rather than go down like dominoes...
 
Nik_2213 said:
2012-2013 ??

I think the cycle is running a bit late: My guess is nearer 2015-16...

Just in time for me to graduate...:wink:

Nik_2213 said:
IIRC, the first big problem is geomagnetic induced current, low-frequency AC that swamps the cores of the big distribution transformers. IIRC, a lot of new breakers etc have been fitted to prevent burn-outs.

The other issue is 'cascade failure'. As I see it, the networks just have to talk to each other a bit better, and be prepared to 'ring fence' outages rather than go down like dominoes...

I have read somewhere that power system protection is computationally intensive. Is this true? How so? Is it from CEM, or from control theory calculations?
I don't have the link. It doesn't matter anyway, the blogger did not say how it was computationally intensive, just that it was.

Oh, and thanks for the reply.
IIRC ("If I recall correctly")? That is a new one for me.
 

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