What Is the Probability of 50 Bombs Landing Within 10 Meters of the Target?

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In summary, the conversation discusses the probability of 50 out of 80 bombs being within 10 meters of a target, assuming a normally distributed miss distance profile with a standard deviation of 10 meters and no systematic errors in launch. The solution involves calculating the binomial probability using the given information and applying it to the scenario.
  • #1
gkraju
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Homework Statement



assume the dispersion of 3000 bombs launched from an aircraft showed a normally distributed miss distance profile with standard deviation of 10 meters. if 80 bobmbs are dropped on a target with no systematic errors at launch , what is probability that 50 bombs are within 10 meters of target.
Mean was not given but i think it should be assumed as zero

The Attempt at a Solution


mean = 0
std deviation = 10
x = 10
z1 = ( x - mean ) / std deviation

calculated p( z < z1) from normal distribution tables
then how to apply it for 50 bombs out of 80

 
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  • #2
?I think you are looking for the binomial probability. The probability that 50 out of 80 bombs will be within 10 meters of the target is given by: P = (80 choose 50) * 0.8413^50 * 0.1587^30 where 0.8413 is the probability that one bomb is within 10 meters of the target and 0.1587 is the probability that one bomb is not within 10 meters of the target.
 

Related to What Is the Probability of 50 Bombs Landing Within 10 Meters of the Target?

1. What factors determine the accuracy of an aircraft bombing?

The accuracy of an aircraft bombing depends on several factors, including the skill of the pilot, the precision of the aircraft's targeting system, the weather conditions, and the type of bomb being used. Other factors such as altitude, speed, and wind speed can also affect accuracy.

2. How do military strategists plan for aircraft bombings?

Military strategists use a variety of methods to plan for aircraft bombings, including analyzing intelligence and reconnaissance data, identifying strategic targets, and developing a mission plan that takes into account factors such as the aircraft's capabilities, the enemy's defenses, and potential collateral damage.

3. What measures are taken to minimize civilian casualties during an aircraft bombing?

Military forces take several measures to minimize civilian casualties during an aircraft bombing, including using precision-guided munitions, conducting thorough reconnaissance and target analysis, and using specific tactics and strategies to avoid civilian areas. However, there is always a risk of civilian casualties in any military operation.

4. How do aircraft bombings impact the environment?

Aircraft bombings can have a significant impact on the environment, particularly in terms of air and water pollution. The use of explosives and destruction of buildings and infrastructure can also lead to long-term environmental damage. Military forces often take steps to mitigate these impacts, such as using eco-friendly munitions and conducting environmental assessments before and after bombings.

5. What advancements have been made in aircraft bombing technology?

Advancements in aircraft bombing technology have been significant in recent years. Precision-guided munitions, such as laser-guided bombs and GPS-guided missiles, have greatly improved the accuracy of bombings. Stealth technology has also allowed for more effective and precise targeting. Additionally, advancements in unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have expanded the capabilities of aircraft bombings.

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