Hi votingmachine:
I think that it might be helpful to consider an idea that I learned from personal correspondence with a professor of atmospheric physics at MIT. Unfortunately I do not have the research skills and access to technical literature to find and cite any articles that discuss this idea. I would very much appreciate it if someone could do this for me, or alternatively to cite an article that refutes the idea.
Here is the idea. IR photons absorbed and emitted by atmospheric gasses do
not then all pass through the atmosphere ending up either hitting the Earth surface or going into outer space. Many (most?) of them will hit another molecule of gas. To understand the implication of this, it will first be useful to point out that these photons (almost) never affect the temperature of the atmosphere. The evidence for this is seen in the article cited below.
http://www.leif.org/EOS/2012GL051542.pdf
IR radiation was measured from the atmosphere over a ten year period, and one observation was that the spectrum of this radiation was not thermal. but rather matched the absorption spectrum of CO2 and other GH gasses. (That was not the primary observation, which was the correlation of increases in the measured radiation with the increases of atmospheric CO2.)
What happens when a GH gas absorbs a IR photon is that a photon of the same energy is quickly re-emitted in a random direction before the molecule interacts with another molecule. If the molecule was near enough to other molecules so that it would interact with one before the re-emitting event occurred, then the excited energy of the molecule could be converted to kinetic energy, and by later further molecule to molecule interactions, the energy of the original absorbed photon would contribute to an increased equilibrium at a higher temperature In the Earth's atmosphere. The only molecules sufficiently close together for an molecule to molecule interaction to occur (with any significant frequency) before re-emission are in the liquid water droplets in clouds.
In the context presented above, what happens when an IR photon is absorbed by a GH gas molecule in a gaseous environment (not a water droplet) is a random walk: a chain of absorb, re-emit, absorb,re-emit, etc., steps until one of two final events occurs: (1) a re-emitted photon hits the surface of the Earth, or (2) a re-emitted photon escapes to space. The length of each "step" in the random walk towards or away from the Earth's surface is a combination of (a) the distribution of mean free path between GH gas molecules for the interaction radius of the molecule, and (b) the distribution the cosine of the random emission angle with respect to the downward direction. The (a) component depends on altitude since the density of the GH molecules decreases with altitude.
When I first thought about this scenario, I overlooked the altitude effect, and concluded that the probabilities for the random walk to end at the Earth or in space were equal. I plan to now do a Monte-Carlo calculation for a random walk after I figure out how to calculate the exact way that altitude will effect the step length. I will have to learn how to calculate the mean free path length. Can anyone suggest how to do that?
Regards,
Buzz