Another probablility question

  • Thread starter needstatshelp
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B to beat A, and C to beat Bso P(B beats A) = 1 - P(A beats B) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3and P(C beats B) = 1 - P(B beats C) = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4so the probability for this second way is (0.3)(0.4)(0.3) = 0.036and the total probability is 0.294 + 0.036 = 0.33In summary, the probability of each person winning one match in a round-robin tournament where A has a 0.7 chance of beating
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needstatshelp
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Homework Statement



Three friends (A, B, and C) will participate in a round-robin tournament in which each one plays both of the others. Suppose that P(A beats B) = 0.7, P(A beats C) = 0.3, P(B beats C) = 0.6, and that the outcomes of the three matches are independent of one another.

(d) What is the probability that each person wins one match? (Hint: There are two different ways for this to happen.)

Homework Equations



not sure if there is a relevant equation to this

The Attempt at a Solution



(d) What is the probability that each person wins one match? (Hint: There are two different ways for this to happen.)

so A, B and C would need to win a match

P(A beats B) = 0.7 (A wins)
P(A beats C) = 0.3, so we would take 1-.3=0.7 to figure out probability of C winning
P(B beats C) = 0.6 (B wins)

P=(0.7)(0.7)(0.6)=0.294 THIS IS INCORRECT
 
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  • #2
hi needstatshelp! welcome to pf! :smile:
needstatshelp said:
(d) What is the probability that each person wins one match? (Hint: There are two different ways for this to happen.)

P=(0.7)(0.7)(0.6)=0.294 THIS IS INCORRECT

you've only done the probability for one of the two different ways :wink:
 

1. What is probability?

Probability is a measure of the likelihood or chance of an event occurring. It is usually expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 represents impossibility and 1 represents certainty.

2. How is probability calculated?

Probability is calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. For example, if you roll a six-sided die, the probability of rolling a 3 would be 1/6, because there is only one favorable outcome (rolling a 3) out of six possible outcomes (rolling a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6).

3. What is the difference between theoretical and experimental probability?

Theoretical probability is based on mathematical calculations and assumes that all outcomes are equally likely. Experimental probability is based on actual observations or data and may vary depending on the sample size and conditions.

4. How is probability used in real life?

Probability is used in many fields, including finance, economics, and science, to make predictions and informed decisions. It is also used in everyday situations, such as predicting the weather or the likelihood of winning a game of chance.

5. Can probability be greater than 1 or less than 0?

No, probability cannot be greater than 1 or less than 0. A probability of 0 means the event is impossible, while a probability of 1 means the event is certain. Any value outside of this range would not make sense in the context of probability.

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