Changing Earth's Orbit: How Has the Speed Around the Sun Evolved?

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SUMMARY

The Earth's orbital period around the Sun has evolved significantly since the formation of the solar system approximately 4.5 billion years ago. Initially, the Earth completed an orbit in 0.89 years at a distance of 1.38E08 km, while the current orbital period is 365 days at 1.50E08 km. Future predictions indicate an increase in distance to 1.64E08 km and an orbital period of 1.15 years. Studies, including those presented at the American Geophysical Union's 2007 Fall Meeting, demonstrate that temperature changes due to solar-Earth orbital interactions have minimal impact on global warming trends.

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  • Understanding of celestial mechanics and orbital dynamics
  • Familiarity with astronomical distance measurements (e.g., kilometers in astronomical units)
  • Knowledge of temperature scales and their historical context
  • Basic grasp of the expanding universe theory
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  • Explore "historical temperature records and their implications" to understand climate change
  • Investigate "tidal braking effects on planetary orbits" for a comprehensive view of orbital changes
  • Examine "the expanding universe theory" to grasp its implications on celestial bodies
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Astronomers, climate scientists, and educators interested in the historical evolution of Earth's orbit and its implications on climate change.

Juswannaknow
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I understand that the Earth takes 365 days (give or take) to orbit the sun. I also understand that the physics of the universe are in continual flux (expanding universe, cooling suns, etc).

Question: Is it plausible to assume that the Earth took a shorter/longer time to orbit the sun a billion (5 billion, 10 billion) years ago? If so, is there any studies or evidence indicating the rate of change?
 
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With a little help from google I got:

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After the formation of the solar system (-4.5 Byr) the Earth orbit was at 1.38E08 km (presently 1.50E08 km) and the Earth period was 0.89 years. In the future (+4.5Byr), they are predicted to be 1.64E08 km and 1.15 yr. At -4.5 Byr, present temperatures of -50, zero, and + 50 C were higher at -40.5, 11.7, and 63.9 C, respectively. It is predicted that in +4.5 Byr, these temperatures will have decreased to -60.0, -12.2, and 35.5 C. In the past million years, the present -50, 0, and +50 C temperatures were about 0.03C higher, and will be about 0.03 C lower in another million years. These results indicate that temperature changes due to solar-Earth orbital interactions do not significantly contribute to the observed Earth global warming observations.

Above is from:

American Geophysical Union - 2007 Fall Meeting
Earth Orbit, Period, and Temperature - Past and Future
(Abstract)

Presentation:
10–14 December 2007
Ingo H. Leubner Rochester
Institute for fundamental Research
 
So, causes of change in Earth-Sun distance:

- expanding universe: no
- tidal braking: yes
 
Hmmm.. thank you very much! I had the impression that the changes would be much greater.
 

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