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bhobba said:Yes. Its one of those reasons I am now wary of reading too much into what the scientists say.
I once articulated Courtney's law which says, "The quality of the science is inversely proportional to the public policy impact." Though that was somewhat tongue-in-cheek, the point is I've observed that finding the clear path from the public policy push back to the sound scientific conclusions back to the careful experiments and hard data to support those conclusions is often harder when there are important public policy implications, especially when the whole process is squeezed by time and political pressure.
In the current Coronavirus event, I am reminded that in science, sound inferences are based on careful experiments and hard reliable data. Repeatable experiments are the only gold standard in science for reliable data. Public pronouncements from government agencies and from scientists themselves do not constitute "facts" or "data" in the scientific method, as these amount to arguments by authority rather than data-driven science. There may be windows of time (hopefully short) where these public pronouncements provide the best available information for making medical decisions.
But as a scientist and a teacher and mentor of other scientists, my mantra for confidence is the verifiability of the scientific method that comes from "Show me the data!" Until there is a clear path from public policy and pronouncements back to quality conclusions and quality data of the sort suitable for publication in peer-reviewed journals, a scientist should retain a healthy dose of skepticism. And no, I don't trust that scientists in some government lab have the data to back up their policy positions until I see the data and can read all the experimental procedures that produced it.