D0 decays to K+/K- (CKM suppression)

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I was looking at the D^0 \rightarrow K^+ \pi^- and D^0 \rightarrow K^- \pi^+.

The first is doubly Cabbibo suppressed whereas the other is Cabibbo favored.
I got the ratio:
A= \frac{Br( D^0 \rightarrow K^+ \pi^-)}{Br(D^0 \rightarrow K^- \pi^+)} = \frac{|V_{cd}|^2 |V_{us}|^2}{|V_{cs}|^2 |V_{ud}|^2} \approx 0.002863(12)
I used the values given for V_{ij} from wikipedia .
I then checked the pdg for the appropriate decay rates :
Br( D^0 \rightarrow K^+ \pi^-)= 1.380(28) \times 10^{-4}
Br( D^0 \rightarrow K^- \pi^+)= 3.88(5) \times 10^{-2}
From which I got their ratio:
A \approx 0.00356(9)

I was wondering why these ratios are not equal?
 
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For an exact calculation you have to consider higher orders. Those are very messy for charm decays.
For experimental observations, you also have to take mixing into account. The ##D^0## can go to ##\overline {D^0}## and then decay via the Cabibbo favored decay, which looks exactly like the suppressed decay. Then you also add interference between mixing and decay and you get a parabolic shape of this measured branching ratio as function of time.

LHCb has the most sensitive measurement so far.
Publication 1
Publication 2
Overview note
 
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mfb said:
, you also have to take mixing into account. The D0D^0 can go to D0¯¯¯¯¯¯\overline {D^0} and then decay via the Cabibbo favored decay, which looks exactly like the suppressed decay.

So you think that the pdg's values take into account the D^0 (\rightarrow \bar{D}^0 )\rightarrow K^+ \pi^-?
I'll have a look at your citations.
 
They have separate groups for the rare decay: total, via DCS, via ##\overline {D^0}##. Not sure how they handle interference.

Where is the point in the non-interactive version:
http://pdg8.lbl.gov/rpp2014v1/pdgLive/Particle.action?node=S032
http://pdg8.lbl.gov/rpp2014v1/pdgLive/BranchingRatio.action?parCode=S032&desig=50

Looks like the LHCb estimate is not included yet. You can also have a look at the Heavy Flavor Averaging Group.
 
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Judging from the LHCb results, the ratio ##R(t)## has a minimum value ##R_D## which is still larger (##3.568 \times 10^{-3}##) and that gets larger with time because of the D-Dbar oscillations. So in fact the oscillations would lead in a higher A than the one I obtained from pdg...and so even larger from the one I obtained from the CKM... So I guess the main difference is because of higher order contributions to those diagrams...
 
If you also include approximations to the theoretical predictions, like the zero recoil form factors for the transitions (assuming factorization), then you have in addition to the CKM ratios, ##\left(\frac{f_{D\pi}}{f_{DK}} \frac{f_K}{f_{\pi}}\right)^2##

from http://arxiv.org/pdf/0907.2842v1.pdf and decay constant ratios from PDG vals http://pdg.lbl.gov/2014/reviews/rpp2014-rev-pseudoscalar-meson-decay-cons.pdf

I get ##0.00309508 \pm 0.000428392##

Then there's factorization violating stuff too.
 
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