RogerWaters said:
exponential expansion of, say, a massive balloon may all but flatten local sections of it (to an observer living on the surface) but it won’t change the critical density needed for flatness
If we're talking about exact exponential expansion, i.e., a cosmological constant with nothing else present, the critical density and the actual density are already the same. Just look at the math I gave earlier. Note carefully that for exact exponential expansion, the Hubble constant ##H## is literally
constant--it has the same value everywhere in the spacetime.
If we're talking about inflation, asuming the scalar inflaton field is not exactly constant with time (or our current dark energy-dominated universe, which is also driving itself towards exact flatness, though much more slowly than inflation did), then the Hubble "constant" ##H## is not literally constant; it does change with time.
And that is equivalent to the critical density changing with time. Again, just look at the math: the critical density
is the Hubble constant ##H##, with some multipliers that are just fixed numbers.
Perhaps it might be helpful to consider several different cases and look at how the Hubble value ##H## changes with time in those cases:
Closed universe, zero cosmological constant: ##H## starts out positive, decreases to zero, and goes negative (because the universe recollapses).
Open universe, zero cosmological constant: ##H## starts out positive and decreases forever, asymptotically approaching a finite positive value which is determined by the curvature term in the Friedmann equation.
Flat universe, zero cosmological constant: ##H## starts out positive and decreases forever, asymptotically approaching zero.
Flat universe, positive cosmological constant, nothing else present (de Sitter): ##H## is always constant, at the value determined by the cosmological constant.
Universe being driven towards flat; either inflaton scalar field, or positive cosmological constant (dark energy) with other matter/radiation also present: ##H## starts out positive and decreases forever, asymptotically approaching a finite positive value which is determined by the cosmological constant (or the inflaton scalar field in the inflation case).
Now let's rewrite the above in terms of the actual density vs. the critical density:
Closed universe, zero cosmological constant: actual density is always greater than critical density; actual density starts out positive, decreases until maximum expansion, then increases again.
Open universe, zero cosmological constant: actual density is always less than critical density; actual density starts out positive and decreases forever, asymptotically approaching zero.
Flat universe, zero cosmological constant: actual density is always exactly equal to critical density.
Flat universe, positive cosmological constant, nothing else present (de Sitter): actual density is constant, at the value determined by the cosmological constant. This is also the critical density, so actual density is always exactly equal to the critical density.
Universe being driven towards flat; either inflaton scalar field, or positive cosmological constant (dark energy) with other matter/radiation also present: actual density starts out positive and decreases forever, asymptotically approaching the density determined by the cosmological constant (i.e., everything that isn't cosmological constant (or inflaton scalar field in the inflation case) gradually dilutes to zero). Since that density is also the critical density, the actual density and the critical density are driven towards the same value.
Note that, while the flat universe with zero cosmological constant looks different in terms of ##H## than the de Sitter case, in terms of actual density vs. critical density they are the same.