thinkandmull said:
What general argument can I give to lay people who say "there is no way to know if there are hidden forces at work"?
One analogy is to take a typical coin toss. It has two possible ends: Head or Tail. And if you toss a coin 100 time, the number of heads plus the number of tails is 100. There is an underlying classical reality, if you catch the coin on your arm, and cover it, it has a value, even though that value is unknown.
You would be disturbed if you flipped the coin 100 times, and ended with 40 heads and 40 tails. Or if you ended with 60 heads and 60 tails. The numbers don't add up to 100. That would violate the essential assumption that the coin flip state has defined properties that become fully known. Apparently, some of the time, the properties were unknown.
Classical probabilities for things with defined properties will have that critical feature that all of the possible outcomes have a probability sum of 1.0000... Bell's inequality is at its most basic, a re-statement of that, with the INequality being that if you end up with a number that is not equal to 1.000... then you are dealing with a system that cannot have determinate classical properties.
The path in physics traces back to the EPR paper, which attacked the uncertainty principle, and quantum mechanics, calling it an "incomplete" description of the underlying reality. The uncertainty principle is not a complete description, in the classical sense because underlying property sets are uncertain. But what experimental evidence shows us, is that the description is as complete as it gets. Einstein's suggestion was to take two identical things (entangled particles) and measure the properties of one without disturbing the other, then measure the other. Then a complete description would be possible. If EPR was right, the outcomes of separate measurements would obey the math of simple classical probabilities. Instead the experiments have outcomes where the probabilities don't add up to 1.000...
The hidden forces that people want to assume, are ones that bring the description to completeness, and the probabilities to classical ones. The experiments are pretty conclusive that such a rendering is not possible.