How can I generate a two-tailed power law distribution for stock market returns?

AI Thread Summary
Generating a two-tailed power law distribution for stock market returns involves understanding the difference between one-tailed and two-tailed distributions. The user is currently able to create one-tailed distributions for positive returns but struggles with achieving a full bell-shaped curve. Recommendations include exploring statistical software like R, which may have packages specifically designed for this purpose. Additionally, resources such as articles on power laws in finance could provide further insights. The discussion emphasizes the need for the correct formula and parameters to achieve the desired distribution shape.
Tejay
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Hi All,

After reading some books on how stock market returns are better modeled by a power law distribution, I wanted to play with some data based on this.

When using some software and or doing it myself on excel, I can generate one tail, but not two.

This is what I would like my data to look like;

04107-exhibit_01.gif


Does anyone know how to do this?

As you might have gathered, I am well out of my depth here. Just looking to tinker with the data for fun.
 
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Welcome to PF!

Here's an article on using power laws in finance with pointers to other related articles which may be a good start:

http://physicsoffinance.blogspot.com/2011/12/power-laws-in-finance.html

There are also several papers on this very topic that you can find via Google that I didn't include here because they may be too technical.

With respect to your question though: Can you describe what you mean by one tail vs two tails? is this a limitation of your data or the choice of parameters for your power law graph?
 
Thanks for the quick reply.
That article is exactly what I am trying to do.

What I meant by one tail is I can calculate say a graph like this for the positive returns;

550plain-power-law.jpg


But I am not sure of the formula I need to use to get the overall distribution or bell shape.

Even better, if this is called a particular distribution I would prefer to generate the graph in a software package. I downloaded Easyfit 5.5, but the power law distribution produces what I am describing as a "one tail" distribution such as the image above and not like the image in my original post.

Thanks :)
 
Excel is the worst tool available for anything statistical. You could try "R" - a powerful yet free statistical software package. I believe (based on memory from a year or so ago) that there is even a package for R that will aid in generating the type of distribution you want.
 
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