Mentz114 said:
Fra said:
Also, what exactly is a probability - in terms of something real measureable and retainable to a real observer? If it's not an idealisation, what is it?
Yep. I would call it a psychological construct and I don't grant it physical existence outside our heads.
So we agree that the probability formalism is sort of an idealisation. Then the question is, how come it is so successful? and how can we improve it?
In my opinion, probabilities are like optimal bets. And for reasons already mentioned, it is not straightforward to define an objective measure of "best", for several raasons.
But still, the basic problem is... we are stuck with incomplete information, and lack of solid references... so it seems we both need to build are references AND then use that references to place bets. How is this done, in the best way, to make sure we survive? If we can't figure out anthing better, we can also just try anything at will, and we die when in constructive disharmony with the environment.
I agree it's a bit violaition of terminology but I think of subjective probabilites as subjective odds, and I'm still working on my own understanding here but I definitely do think that these odds can be given a more solid interpretation (but not fundamentally objective). The fact that subjective observers can still coexists and communicate, lacking common univeral reference is a mystery but I think also the key to crack the nut.
Mentz114 said:
Fra said:
Considering the swampy ground we are all on, I don't see why it's obvious that there is an objective reality, ..
Does this not contradict your earlier statement ( first quote ) where you refer to the 'universe' ? Surely this is objective reality by another name ?
I see your objection. What I am suggesting is that the reality is an emergent and fundamentally subjective thing, but "subjective" IMO does NOT refer just to human brain. The subjectivity concept here, to me, also includes for example the perception of things relative to say a particle. I picture that this particle relates and reacts to the environment and the relations are represented by the particles internal state relative to the environment. However, for an outside observer the particles internal state is seen as a superposition of emerged possibilities only.
If you picture a communication problem, I picture an observer, a particle, or any subsystem to act like a transciever. But the transciever itsel is "sefassembled" and keeps changing. Clearly the self-desctructive transcievers will not live on.
Mentz114 said:
Yep. Even the best physical theories are approximations, and always will be because, as you we agree, the Universe is a lot bigger and more complicated than we are.
I agree with this. And this is exactly what leads my to my position. This is why the theories themselves are not fundamental. The more fundamental thing seems to be the method or physics that govern the evolution of the theories. I see it as a information problem, a learning problem, where we are crippled by insufficient and dynamic memory.
My personal idea is that each observer, can only resolve a certain complexity. The organisation of the memory is under constant equilibration. Coupled to this is new input and released output (interactions with the environment). I have some thinking where the expectations of the probabilities are in fact coded in the observers internal state. (with observer here I mean any system, a particle, or system of particle - not just a human). The "processing" is I pictured a sort of "stochastic process", coupled to unexpected input, and a bit random but still controlled emission/radiation or information. The dynamics needs to be worked out, but in principle I imagine the following improvement to the normal probability theory.
The observers internal state (represented but the state of it's microstructure), limits the size of the probability space (no continuum is allowed). A small particle can in my thinking simply not simultanesouly relate to the entire universe (I think this will have impacts on some renormalisation problems - there will be "natural" cutoffs, but they won't be hard cutoffs). Therefor the wavefunction of the entire universe, gets a very special meaning. The limit is imposed by the complexity of the observer itself. This is one reason for the "subjective reality" as I refer to it.
Next, there is the concept of uncertainty and change. The observers microstructure can be used to encode also patterns of change, and when stored in the same microstructure I think there willl exists a relation between the different effective probability spaces.
The probability space itself will in my thinking, sort of take on an observable character. But the probability space is then inherently subjective (== observer relative).
/Fredrik