Temperature change and Milankovitch cycles

AI Thread Summary
The discussion centers on the Earth's climatic state in relation to Milankovitch cycles, with a consensus that the Earth is currently in a cooling phase. According to the Milankovitch theory, a long-term cooling trend has been ongoing for approximately 6,000 years and is expected to continue for another 23,000 years. Some interpretations suggest we are currently 20,000 years into a 50,000-year warming cycle, which will eventually lead to another cooling phase and potentially an Ice Age, unless human activities significantly alter this pattern. While there are differing opinions, many scholars align with NASA's position on the cyclical nature of Earth's climate. The discussion encourages further exploration of supporting resources to understand these theories better.
neginf
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According to Milankovitch cycles, is the Earth in a warming, stable, or cooling period ?
 
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Cooling; the Milankovitch theory as tuned by Imbrie predicts that the long-term cooling
trend which began some 6000 years ago would otherwise continue for 23,000 years.

http://math.virginia.edu/~ji2k/Home/Papers/Imbrie-Imbrie.pdf
 
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neginf said:
According to Milankovitch cycles, is the Earth in a warming, stable, or cooling period ?

If you accept the Milankovitch Hypothesis as explaining the periodicity of the Pleistocene glacial epochs (as NASA does), then we are 20,000 years into a 50,000 warming cycle. This will be followed by a 50,000 cooling cycle and another Ice Age--assuming anthropogenic effects do not overpower the effects of orbital forcing.

Imbrie disagrees, but my own readings suggest the most scholars agree with NASA. Follow some of the Google references and come to your own conclusions.
 
Any links supporting NASA's alleged position?
 

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