TrickyDicky said:
...it is time traslation invariant. So it is not possible for them to agree on which direction of time is the "future"...
Why not? There is a choice to be made, I agree (and I've said so before), but there is nothing preventing different observers in different states of motion from both making the same choice. And the choice is discrete, not continuous; there is no way to continuously vary the choice from place to place in the spacetime, such that, for example, an observer at r = r1 makes one choice of which half of his local light cone is the "future", and another observer at r = r2 makes the opposite choice; if two such observers make opposite choices, there is no way to set up a continuous coordinate system that respects both choices, there has to be a discontinuity between them. So I don't understand why you think time translation invariance somehow invalidates having a continuous, consistent definition of which direction of time is the "future".
It does mean that all physical processes will "look the same" regardless of which choice of time direction you make; if that's what you were getting at, see my further comments later in this post.
TrickyDicky said:
...because first of all time doesn't flow in such manifolds...
Huh? If by "time doesn't flow" you just mean they're time translation invariant, then I don't see how saying "time doesn't flow" adds anything. If by "time doesn't flow" you mean that observers somehow don't experience time, sure they do; there is a well-defined notion of proper time along each timelike worldline. If, again, you mean that physical processes "look the same" in both directions of time, again, see further comments later in this post.
TrickyDicky said:
...and second we can't assume they make the same choice of which half of of the light cones is the "future" half because it is not timelike hypersurface orthogonal.
I don't understand how this follows. The presence of "cross" terms in the metric does not prevent a consistent choice, for observers at different events and/or in different states of motion, about which half of the light cones is the "future" half. Also, Schwarzschild spacetime is time translation invariant, but it *does* admit a coordinate chart which is hypersurface orthogonal (because it's static, not just stationary). And yet your other comments about the implications of time translation invariance would seem to apply to Schwarzschild spacetime as much as to Kerr spacetime.
TrickyDicky said:
In any case, Kerr spacetime as we know has nothing to do with our manifold and I'm asking about what happens in our non-stationary universe.
I agree the universe, unlike Kerr spacetime, is not stationary. But I think the above points do bear on the non-stationary example as well. The need to consistently choose a "future" half for each light cone in the spacetime exists for a non-stationary spacetime as well. For example, you say that the universe is "expanding". Why? A solution with the direction of time reversed, in which everything is exactly the same except that the universe is contracting instead of expanding, is equally consistent with the Einstein Field Equation. The only reason we say the universe is "expanding" is that we define the "future" half of the light cones according to our own experience of time flow; we remember times when the universe was smaller, and we look forward to times when the universe will be larger.
Similar remarks apply to the second law: we say that entropy is "increasing" because the physical process of memory, for example, requires entropy to increase as a memory is "formed", so again we experience time flow in the same direction as entropy increases.
Perhaps you mean that in a time translation invariant spacetime, there would be no such thing as entropy increasing? That if we really lived in a "pure" Kerr spacetime, the second law would not hold? If so, I would disagree, or more precisely I would insist on rephrasing the claim. If it were really physically possible for a completely time translation invariant spacetime to exist, I don't believe conscious beings could exist in it; so a "pure" Kerr spacetime, for example, would not have entropy increase only because it would not have any real change, or any conscious observers, at all. Strictly speaking, if one really takes time translation invariance seriously, it means that nothing can really change at all, and the existence of any kind of actual "observers" that can experience anything requires change.
But I can certainly imagine an "impure" Kerr spacetime, for example, in which the overall spacetime was (at least in a time averaged sense) time translation invariant, but in which entropy still increased in a given direction. That just means that General Relativity can't model physical processes at the level of detail required to treat things like entropy increase, or to handle processes like those in the brains of conscious beings. The overall GR solution would provide a background within which more detailed models, such as statistical mechanics, would be used to handle things like entropy and the second law. It's true that such a spacetime would not, in the strict sense, be fully time translation invariant, which is why I call it "impure"; but I could certainly see it being, on average, time translation invariant for a period of billions of years, long enough for intelligent life to develop.
I'm rambling, but I think the bottom line is that I still don't see how our physical observations of the universe expanding, the second law, etc., pick out a "preferred frame" in the GR sense. They do pick out a preferred "direction of time", in the sense that they show that the actual spacetime we live in is not stationary; but I don't see how they pick out anything more specific than that. Just saying that the spacetime is not stationary certainly does not pick out a "preferred frame" in the GR sense.