I found an interesting article titled "Simulation of hydrogen deflagration and detonation in a BWR reactor building" in Nuclear Engineering and Design, Vol. 211, p. 27 (2002) [http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0029-5493(01)00443-5 ]. (This one my university has a subsription for, yeahee...) Here's the abstract:
A systematic study was carried out to investigate the hydrogen behaviour in a BWR reactor building during a severe accident. BWR core contains a large amount of Zircaloy and the containment is relatively small. Because containment leakage cannot be totally excluded, hydrogen can build up in the reactor building, where the atmosphere is normal air. The objective of the work was to investigate, whether hydrogen can form flammable and detonable mixtures in the reactor building, evaluate the possibility of onset of detonation and assess the pressure loads under detonation conditions. The safety concern is, whether the hydrogen in the reactor building can detonate and whether the external detonation can jeopardize the containment integrity. The analysis indicated that the possibility of flame acceleration and deflagration-to-detonation transition (DDT) in the reactor building could not be ruled out in case of a 20 mm2 leakage from the containment. The detonation analyses indicated that maximum pressure spike of about 7 MPa was observed in the reactor building room selected for the analysis.
I only skimmed over the article and I am not really familiar with combustion physics, but as far as I understand from it, the oxygen-hydrogen mixture ignites at one point, then the flame front spreads and gets faster and faster (deflagration?) until it becomes supersonic and a shockfront is formed (detonation?) which is basically the explosion (please correct me if this terribly oversimplified). The shockfront or wave is what causes the damage. They have some nice images in that article showing the simulated pressure distributions and how the shockwave spreads and gets reflected by the walls. They also give some numbers for the pressures that are exerted on the walls by the shockwaves.
This seems to support the theory of a detonation in the upper building, and shockwaves traveling down into the lower floors. I guess thinking of the explosion as happening everywhere at the same time, where there is the proper gas mixture, is oversimplified.
From this picture, I agree that two blowout panels in the structure as units 2-4 have are not useful to divert the effects of a hydrogen explosion. But I think if the walls had been metal just as in unit 1, the effect of the blast onto the building below the service floor would have been less. The shockwave should be reflected from the metal panels which are flying away much less than from the concrete panels and especially the concrete pillars. From the fact that the pillars fell we can see that the pressure buildup onto them stemming from the shockwave must have been huge. But since they are rather heavy objects the reflections from the pillars must have been quite devastating shockwaves too.